Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and variable southeasterly winds create the main uncertainty in Qingdao's June 26 maximum temperature, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 27–32 °C. Recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with potential afternoon heating limited by sea breezes and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological June highs near 24–26 °C. Forecasters note that small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or an approaching weak front could add or subtract 2–4 °C, explaining why no single threshold exceeds 18 % probability. Updated regional model consensus and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 26?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 26?
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$110,600 Vol.
$110,600 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$110,600 Vol.
$110,600 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
22°C or below
$32,464 Vol.
No
23°C
$9,519 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,392 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,606 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,736 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,096 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,581 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,012 Vol.
No
30°C
$12,675 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$10,399 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$15,121 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and variable southeasterly winds create the main uncertainty in Qingdao's June 26 maximum temperature, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 27–32 °C. Recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with potential afternoon heating limited by sea breezes and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological June highs near 24–26 °C. Forecasters note that small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or an approaching weak front could add or subtract 2–4 °C, explaining why no single threshold exceeds 18 % probability. Updated regional model consensus and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$110,600End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and variable southeasterly winds create the main uncertainty in Qingdao's June 26 maximum temperature, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 27–32 °C. Recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with potential afternoon heating limited by sea breezes and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological June highs near 24–26 °C. Forecasters note that small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or an approaching weak front could add or subtract 2–4 °C, explaining why no single threshold exceeds 18 % probability. Updated regional model consensus and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$110,600End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and variable southeasterly winds create the main uncertainty in Qingdao's June 26 maximum temperature, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 27–32 °C. Recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with potential afternoon heating limited by sea breezes and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological June highs near 24–26 °C. Forecasters note that small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or an approaching weak front could add or subtract 2–4 °C, explaining why no single threshold exceeds 18 % probability. Updated regional model consensus and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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