Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on September 6 centers on a high near 70–72°F under mostly sunny skies and northerly flow, driving the 35.5% implied probability for 72–73°F and 27.5% for 70–71°F. This pattern reflects a stable post-frontal ridge suppressing marine layer intrusion and limiting afternoon cloud build-up, consistent with early-September climatology where the average high reaches 72.8°F. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing and any subtle sea-breeze timing, with later model runs expected to tighten the range before resolution at official Seattle-area stations. Trader consensus aligns closely with these deterministic and probabilistic forecasts, underscoring low uncertainty two days out.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on September 6?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 6?
72-73°F 37%
70-71°F 29%
68-69°F 20%
66-67°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 37%
70-71°F 29%
68-69°F 20%
66-67°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
63°F or below
$12 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
6%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
12%
68-69°F
$12 Vol.
20%
70-71°F
$146 Vol.
29%
72-73°F
$8 Vol.
36%
74-75°F
$49 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$10 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$7 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
1%
82°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on September 6 centers on a high near 70–72°F under mostly sunny skies and northerly flow, driving the 35.5% implied probability for 72–73°F and 27.5% for 70–71°F. This pattern reflects a stable post-frontal ridge suppressing marine layer intrusion and limiting afternoon cloud build-up, consistent with early-September climatology where the average high reaches 72.8°F. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing and any subtle sea-breeze timing, with later model runs expected to tighten the range before resolution at official Seattle-area stations. Trader consensus aligns closely with these deterministic and probabilistic forecasts, underscoring low uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Volume
$243End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 7:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on September 6 centers on a high near 70–72°F under mostly sunny skies and northerly flow, driving the 35.5% implied probability for 72–73°F and 27.5% for 70–71°F. This pattern reflects a stable post-frontal ridge suppressing marine layer intrusion and limiting afternoon cloud build-up, consistent with early-September climatology where the average high reaches 72.8°F. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing and any subtle sea-breeze timing, with later model runs expected to tighten the range before resolution at official Seattle-area stations. Trader consensus aligns closely with these deterministic and probabilistic forecasts, underscoring low uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$243End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 7:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on September 6 centers on a high near 70–72°F under mostly sunny skies and northerly flow, driving the 35.5% implied probability for 72–73°F and 27.5% for 70–71°F. This pattern reflects a stable post-frontal ridge suppressing marine layer intrusion and limiting afternoon cloud build-up, consistent with early-September climatology where the average high reaches 72.8°F. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing and any subtle sea-breeze timing, with later model runs expected to tighten the range before resolution at official Seattle-area stations. Trader consensus aligns closely with these deterministic and probabilistic forecasts, underscoring low uncertainty two days out.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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