**Trader consensus on a 28°C daily maximum in Seoul for June 15 aligns with official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), which reported a peak temperature of exactly 28°C under mostly clear to intermittent cloud conditions.** Early June climatology in Seoul typically features daytime highs of 26–30°C as the East Asian summer monsoon begins to influence the region, with moderate humidity, light southerly winds, and limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover keeping temperatures from exceeding the mid-20s Celsius. Recent short-range model guidance from KMA and international ensembles converged on this value after incorporating surface observations and steering patterns that suppressed stronger warm advection. The market-implied near-certainty reflects verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty, as resolution depends on KMA’s official daily high recorded between 9 AM and late afternoon. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the station reading or an unrecognized microclimate effect at the primary reporting site, though both are rare once preliminary observations are confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$276,985 Vol.
$276,985 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$276,985 Vol.
$276,985 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
$12,284 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,868 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,912 Vol.
No
25°C
$18,997 Vol.
No
26°C
$28,284 Vol.
No
27°C
$26,310 Vol.
No
28°C
$44,873 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$30,046 Vol.
No
30°C
$42,083 Vol.
No
31°C
$32,369 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$36,958 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 28°C daily maximum in Seoul for June 15 aligns with official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), which reported a peak temperature of exactly 28°C under mostly clear to intermittent cloud conditions.** Early June climatology in Seoul typically features daytime highs of 26–30°C as the East Asian summer monsoon begins to influence the region, with moderate humidity, light southerly winds, and limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover keeping temperatures from exceeding the mid-20s Celsius. Recent short-range model guidance from KMA and international ensembles converged on this value after incorporating surface observations and steering patterns that suppressed stronger warm advection.
The market-implied near-certainty reflects verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty, as resolution depends on KMA’s official daily high recorded between 9 AM and late afternoon. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the station reading or an unrecognized microclimate effect at the primary reporting site, though both are rare once preliminary observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$276,985End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 28°C daily maximum in Seoul for June 15 aligns with official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), which reported a peak temperature of exactly 28°C under mostly clear to intermittent cloud conditions.** Early June climatology in Seoul typically features daytime highs of 26–30°C as the East Asian summer monsoon begins to influence the region, with moderate humidity, light southerly winds, and limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover keeping temperatures from exceeding the mid-20s Celsius. Recent short-range model guidance from KMA and international ensembles converged on this value after incorporating surface observations and steering patterns that suppressed stronger warm advection.
The market-implied near-certainty reflects verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty, as resolution depends on KMA’s official daily high recorded between 9 AM and late afternoon. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the station reading or an unrecognized microclimate effect at the primary reporting site, though both are rare once preliminary observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$276,985End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus on a 28°C daily maximum in Seoul for June 15 aligns with official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), which reported a peak temperature of exactly 28°C under mostly clear to intermittent cloud conditions.** Early June climatology in Seoul typically features daytime highs of 26–30°C as the East Asian summer monsoon begins to influence the region, with moderate humidity, light southerly winds, and limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover keeping temperatures from exceeding the mid-20s Celsius. Recent short-range model guidance from KMA and international ensembles converged on this value after incorporating surface observations and steering patterns that suppressed stronger warm advection. The market-implied near-certainty reflects verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty, as resolution depends on KMA’s official daily high recorded between 9 AM and late afternoon. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the station reading or an unrecognized microclimate effect at the primary reporting site, though both are rare once preliminary observations are confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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