Current observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration at Seoul’s central station show a daytime peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and no precipitation, aligning with model consensus that suppressed further warming below typical late-May climatology of 23–24°C. This data anchors the near-certain market-implied probability for a 22°C high, reflecting real-time hourly readings that remained at or below this threshold through afternoon hours. Minor upward revisions remain possible if final daily summaries incorporate slightly higher peripheral station values or if post-sunset adjustments alter the official maximum, though KMA’s standardized methodology makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on May 23?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 23?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$220,231 Vol.
$220,231 Vol.
May 23, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$220,231 Vol.
$220,231 Vol.
May 23, 2026
15°C or below
$749 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,048 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,677 Vol.
No
18°C
$9,458 Vol.
No
19°C
$23,061 Vol.
No
20°C
$23,406 Vol.
No
21°C
$13,955 Vol.
No
22°C
$34,227 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$37,704 Vol.
No
24°C
$42,171 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$28,774 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration at Seoul’s central station show a daytime peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and no precipitation, aligning with model consensus that suppressed further warming below typical late-May climatology of 23–24°C. This data anchors the near-certain market-implied probability for a 22°C high, reflecting real-time hourly readings that remained at or below this threshold through afternoon hours. Minor upward revisions remain possible if final daily summaries incorporate slightly higher peripheral station values or if post-sunset adjustments alter the official maximum, though KMA’s standardized methodology makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$220,231End Date
May 23, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration at Seoul’s central station show a daytime peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and no precipitation, aligning with model consensus that suppressed further warming below typical late-May climatology of 23–24°C. This data anchors the near-certain market-implied probability for a 22°C high, reflecting real-time hourly readings that remained at or below this threshold through afternoon hours. Minor upward revisions remain possible if final daily summaries incorporate slightly higher peripheral station values or if post-sunset adjustments alter the official maximum, though KMA’s standardized methodology makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$220,231End Date
May 23, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration at Seoul’s central station show a daytime peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and no precipitation, aligning with model consensus that suppressed further warming below typical late-May climatology of 23–24°C. This data anchors the near-certain market-implied probability for a 22°C high, reflecting real-time hourly readings that remained at or below this threshold through afternoon hours. Minor upward revisions remain possible if final daily summaries incorporate slightly higher peripheral station values or if post-sunset adjustments alter the official maximum, though KMA’s standardized methodology makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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