Recent meteorological guidance points to afternoon highs near 33°C in Shenzhen on June 24, with the market pricing 32–34°C outcomes nearly equally due to forecast uncertainty. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, light steering winds, and scattered showers or cloud bursts typical for mid-June can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble models show limited spread around this range, consistent with climatological baselines of 31–33°C daily maxima, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and regional numerical weather prediction runs will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 24?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 24?
34°C 100%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$92,063 Vol.
$92,063 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$92,063 Vol.
$92,063 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
27°C or below
$304 Vol.
No
28°C
$268 Vol.
No
29°C
$230 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,069 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,188 Vol.
No
32°C
$15,116 Vol.
No
33°C
$18,643 Vol.
No
34°C
$14,925 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$10,571 Vol.
No
36°C
$7,164 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$4,584 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance points to afternoon highs near 33°C in Shenzhen on June 24, with the market pricing 32–34°C outcomes nearly equally due to forecast uncertainty. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, light steering winds, and scattered showers or cloud bursts typical for mid-June can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble models show limited spread around this range, consistent with climatological baselines of 31–33°C daily maxima, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and regional numerical weather prediction runs will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$92,063End Date
Jun 24, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance points to afternoon highs near 33°C in Shenzhen on June 24, with the market pricing 32–34°C outcomes nearly equally due to forecast uncertainty. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, light steering winds, and scattered showers or cloud bursts typical for mid-June can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble models show limited spread around this range, consistent with climatological baselines of 31–33°C daily maxima, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and regional numerical weather prediction runs will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$92,063End Date
Jun 24, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent meteorological guidance points to afternoon highs near 33°C in Shenzhen on June 24, with the market pricing 32–34°C outcomes nearly equally due to forecast uncertainty. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, light steering winds, and scattered showers or cloud bursts typical for mid-June can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble models show limited spread around this range, consistent with climatological baselines of 31–33°C daily maxima, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and regional numerical weather prediction runs will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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