Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate peak temperatures on June 28 clustered around 29–31°C, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 32°C. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to overcast skies and precipitation moderating extremes, creating tight probabilities across the 29–31°C range while reducing odds for hotter outcomes above 33°C. Variability in steering patterns and convective activity remains the key uncertainty, with updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date likely to refine these trader-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 28?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 28?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$95,648 Vol.
$95,648 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$95,648 Vol.
$95,648 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
25°C or below
$4,828 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,095 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,054 Vol.
No
28°C
$19,257 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$13,049 Vol.
No
30°C
$15,903 Vol.
No
31°C
$13,492 Vol.
No
32°C
$13,969 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,652 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,609 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$741 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate peak temperatures on June 28 clustered around 29–31°C, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 32°C. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to overcast skies and precipitation moderating extremes, creating tight probabilities across the 29–31°C range while reducing odds for hotter outcomes above 33°C. Variability in steering patterns and convective activity remains the key uncertainty, with updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date likely to refine these trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$95,648End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate peak temperatures on June 28 clustered around 29–31°C, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 32°C. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to overcast skies and precipitation moderating extremes, creating tight probabilities across the 29–31°C range while reducing odds for hotter outcomes above 33°C. Variability in steering patterns and convective activity remains the key uncertainty, with updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date likely to refine these trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95,648End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate peak temperatures on June 28 clustered around 29–31°C, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 32°C. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to overcast skies and precipitation moderating extremes, creating tight probabilities across the 29–31°C range while reducing odds for hotter outcomes above 33°C. Variability in steering patterns and convective activity remains the key uncertainty, with updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date likely to refine these trader-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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