The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 28°C for Taipei on April 19 under mostly clear skies and comfortable conditions, as northeasterly seasonal winds weaken, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with model consensus from official observations, where apparent temperatures reach 29°C but sustained peaks at key stations like Taipei Songshan Airport— the typical resolution source—remain capped near forecast levels amid 10% precipitation risk and UV index 8. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, with today's slight elevation tied to reduced cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing toward 29°C, though current data trends strongly support 28°C resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 19?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 19?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$132,782 Vol.
$132,782 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$132,782 Vol.
$132,782 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
23°C or below
$1,548 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,281 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,152 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,230 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,434 Vol.
No
28°C
$71,227 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$7,893 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,431 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,383 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,121 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$5,083 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 28°C for Taipei on April 19 under mostly clear skies and comfortable conditions, as northeasterly seasonal winds weaken, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with model consensus from official observations, where apparent temperatures reach 29°C but sustained peaks at key stations like Taipei Songshan Airport— the typical resolution source—remain capped near forecast levels amid 10% precipitation risk and UV index 8. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, with today's slight elevation tied to reduced cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing toward 29°C, though current data trends strongly support 28°C resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$132,782End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 28°C for Taipei on April 19 under mostly clear skies and comfortable conditions, as northeasterly seasonal winds weaken, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with model consensus from official observations, where apparent temperatures reach 29°C but sustained peaks at key stations like Taipei Songshan Airport— the typical resolution source—remain capped near forecast levels amid 10% precipitation risk and UV index 8. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, with today's slight elevation tied to reduced cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing toward 29°C, though current data trends strongly support 28°C resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$132,782End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 28°C for Taipei on April 19 under mostly clear skies and comfortable conditions, as northeasterly seasonal winds weaken, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with model consensus from official observations, where apparent temperatures reach 29°C but sustained peaks at key stations like Taipei Songshan Airport— the typical resolution source—remain capped near forecast levels amid 10% precipitation risk and UV index 8. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, with today's slight elevation tied to reduced cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing toward 29°C, though current data trends strongly support 28°C resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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