Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 5 most likely reaching 32–33°C under stable subtropical high pressure and clear skies typical of peak Mediterranean summer. Sea-breeze moderation along the coast and low humidity keep extremes rare, aligning with historical August averages of 31–32°C highs and recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability through early August. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects the absence of heatwave signals or major atmospheric shifts, with probabilities concentrated where ensemble guidance clusters; updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service remain the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 5?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 5?
32°C 49%
33°C 39%
34°C 8%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
49%
33°C
39%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 49%
33°C 39%
34°C 8%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
$60 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$331 Vol.
1%
30°C
$32 Vol.
2%
31°C
$145 Vol.
7%
32°C
$327 Vol.
49%
33°C
$91 Vol.
39%
34°C
$159 Vol.
8%
35°C
$26 Vol.
2%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C
$0 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 5 most likely reaching 32–33°C under stable subtropical high pressure and clear skies typical of peak Mediterranean summer. Sea-breeze moderation along the coast and low humidity keep extremes rare, aligning with historical August averages of 31–32°C highs and recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability through early August. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects the absence of heatwave signals or major atmospheric shifts, with probabilities concentrated where ensemble guidance clusters; updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,170End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 5 most likely reaching 32–33°C under stable subtropical high pressure and clear skies typical of peak Mediterranean summer. Sea-breeze moderation along the coast and low humidity keep extremes rare, aligning with historical August averages of 31–32°C highs and recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability through early August. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects the absence of heatwave signals or major atmospheric shifts, with probabilities concentrated where ensemble guidance clusters; updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,170End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 5 most likely reaching 32–33°C under stable subtropical high pressure and clear skies typical of peak Mediterranean summer. Sea-breeze moderation along the coast and low humidity keep extremes rare, aligning with historical August averages of 31–32°C highs and recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability through early August. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects the absence of heatwave signals or major atmospheric shifts, with probabilities concentrated where ensemble guidance clusters; updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service remain the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions