Forecast models from major meteorological agencies show a strong consensus for a daily maximum of 31°C in Tel Aviv on June 5, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical early-summer subtropical warming patterns. Official guidance places the expected peak squarely at this level, with minimal deviation projected across ensemble runs, which explains the market's near-certain pricing on 31°C. Historical June averages for the region hover near 28–30°C, providing context for why traders see little room for outliers today. Resolution hinges on verified station readings meeting or exceeding this threshold before midnight local time. Unseasonal cloud cover or a sudden wind shift could still push the actual high lower, though current data make that outcome unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 5?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 5?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,985 Vol.
$43,985 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,985 Vol.
$43,985 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
23°C or below
$742 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,222 Vol.
No
25°C
$342 Vol.
No
26°C
$400 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,728 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,154 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,080 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,407 Vol.
No
31°C
$9,551 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$7,945 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$4,414 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major meteorological agencies show a strong consensus for a daily maximum of 31°C in Tel Aviv on June 5, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical early-summer subtropical warming patterns. Official guidance places the expected peak squarely at this level, with minimal deviation projected across ensemble runs, which explains the market's near-certain pricing on 31°C. Historical June averages for the region hover near 28–30°C, providing context for why traders see little room for outliers today. Resolution hinges on verified station readings meeting or exceeding this threshold before midnight local time. Unseasonal cloud cover or a sudden wind shift could still push the actual high lower, though current data make that outcome unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$43,985End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major meteorological agencies show a strong consensus for a daily maximum of 31°C in Tel Aviv on June 5, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical early-summer subtropical warming patterns. Official guidance places the expected peak squarely at this level, with minimal deviation projected across ensemble runs, which explains the market's near-certain pricing on 31°C. Historical June averages for the region hover near 28–30°C, providing context for why traders see little room for outliers today. Resolution hinges on verified station readings meeting or exceeding this threshold before midnight local time. Unseasonal cloud cover or a sudden wind shift could still push the actual high lower, though current data make that outcome unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,985End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast models from major meteorological agencies show a strong consensus for a daily maximum of 31°C in Tel Aviv on June 5, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical early-summer subtropical warming patterns. Official guidance places the expected peak squarely at this level, with minimal deviation projected across ensemble runs, which explains the market's near-certain pricing on 31°C. Historical June averages for the region hover near 28–30°C, providing context for why traders see little room for outliers today. Resolution hinges on verified station readings meeting or exceeding this threshold before midnight local time. Unseasonal cloud cover or a sudden wind shift could still push the actual high lower, though current data make that outcome unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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