Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with the Israeli Meteorological Service, indicate a daytime high near 31°C in Tel Aviv on August 30, driven by moderate westerly winds, partly cloudy conditions, and scattered showers that may limit peak heating compared to the prior days' 32–34°C readings. Late-summer Mediterranean patterns typically feature highs around 29–30°C, but recent stable high pressure has supported slightly elevated values; storm chances introduce minor cooling potential and model divergence. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 31°C as new runs and official updates approach, underscoring how short-term atmospheric steering and humidity levels will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30?
31°C 62%
30°C 33%
32°C 29%
33°C 6%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
33%
31°C
62%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 62%
30°C 33%
32°C 29%
33°C 6%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
33%
31°C
62%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with the Israeli Meteorological Service, indicate a daytime high near 31°C in Tel Aviv on August 30, driven by moderate westerly winds, partly cloudy conditions, and scattered showers that may limit peak heating compared to the prior days' 32–34°C readings. Late-summer Mediterranean patterns typically feature highs around 29–30°C, but recent stable high pressure has supported slightly elevated values; storm chances introduce minor cooling potential and model divergence. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 31°C as new runs and official updates approach, underscoring how short-term atmospheric steering and humidity levels will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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