Current forecasts from multiple meteorological services place Tel Aviv's overnight minimum near 24°C on August 29, aligning with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where typical lows range 24–26°C under prevailing westerly flow and limited cloud cover. Model consensus supports this outcome, with hourly data showing temperatures stabilizing around 24–25°C before dawn amid moderate humidity and light winds that limit further cooling. Trader sentiment reflects high confidence in this baseline because deviations below 23°C would require atypical radiative cooling or an unforecasted marine layer, both of which remain low-probability given stable pressure patterns and recent observational trends. Updated model runs through the evening will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
24°C 99%
21°C 5%
23°C 3%
22°C 2%
$3,977 Vol.
$3,977 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99%
21°C 5%
23°C 3%
22°C 2%
$3,977 Vol.
$3,977 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological services place Tel Aviv's overnight minimum near 24°C on August 29, aligning with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where typical lows range 24–26°C under prevailing westerly flow and limited cloud cover. Model consensus supports this outcome, with hourly data showing temperatures stabilizing around 24–25°C before dawn amid moderate humidity and light winds that limit further cooling. Trader sentiment reflects high confidence in this baseline because deviations below 23°C would require atypical radiative cooling or an unforecasted marine layer, both of which remain low-probability given stable pressure patterns and recent observational trends. Updated model runs through the evening will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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