**Market-implied odds favor 32–33°C for Lucknow’s maximum temperature on August 29, 2026, reflecting uncertainty around monsoon-driven cloud cover and precipitation timing.** Official IMD forecasts anticipate a maximum near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers possible, while recent model runs and hourly guidance show peaks of 34–35°C if sunshine breaks through. Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a lingering low-pressure area and high humidity (often 80–95%), limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh has also kept daytime maxima slightly below or near normal, adding downward pressure. The tight spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes captures variability in storm timing and intensity, as stronger or earlier convection could cap readings closer to 32°C while clearer intervals allow brief rises toward 34–35°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between official temperature guidance and the suppressing effects of widespread cloudiness and moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
33°C 34%
32°C 26%
34°C 16%
31°C 12%
NEW
$11,614 Vol.
NEW
$11,614 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
26%
33°C
34%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
6%
33°C 34%
32°C 26%
34°C 16%
31°C 12%
NEW
$11,614 Vol.
NEW
$11,614 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
$383 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$329 Vol.
3%
31°C
$527 Vol.
12%
32°C
$6,376 Vol.
26%
33°C
$913 Vol.
34%
34°C
$598 Vol.
16%
35°C or higher
$893 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor 32–33°C for Lucknow’s maximum temperature on August 29, 2026, reflecting uncertainty around monsoon-driven cloud cover and precipitation timing.** Official IMD forecasts anticipate a maximum near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers possible, while recent model runs and hourly guidance show peaks of 34–35°C if sunshine breaks through. Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a lingering low-pressure area and high humidity (often 80–95%), limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh has also kept daytime maxima slightly below or near normal, adding downward pressure. The tight spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes captures variability in storm timing and intensity, as stronger or earlier convection could cap readings closer to 32°C while clearer intervals allow brief rises toward 34–35°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between official temperature guidance and the suppressing effects of widespread cloudiness and moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,614End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor 32–33°C for Lucknow’s maximum temperature on August 29, 2026, reflecting uncertainty around monsoon-driven cloud cover and precipitation timing.** Official IMD forecasts anticipate a maximum near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers possible, while recent model runs and hourly guidance show peaks of 34–35°C if sunshine breaks through. Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a lingering low-pressure area and high humidity (often 80–95%), limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh has also kept daytime maxima slightly below or near normal, adding downward pressure. The tight spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes captures variability in storm timing and intensity, as stronger or earlier convection could cap readings closer to 32°C while clearer intervals allow brief rises toward 34–35°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between official temperature guidance and the suppressing effects of widespread cloudiness and moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,614End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor 32–33°C for Lucknow’s maximum temperature on August 29, 2026, reflecting uncertainty around monsoon-driven cloud cover and precipitation timing.** Official IMD forecasts anticipate a maximum near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers possible, while recent model runs and hourly guidance show peaks of 34–35°C if sunshine breaks through. Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a lingering low-pressure area and high humidity (often 80–95%), limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh has also kept daytime maxima slightly below or near normal, adding downward pressure. The tight spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes captures variability in storm timing and intensity, as stronger or earlier convection could cap readings closer to 32°C while clearer intervals allow brief rises toward 34–35°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between official temperature guidance and the suppressing effects of widespread cloudiness and moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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