**Forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS indicate typical late-August Mediterranean conditions for Tel Aviv on August 30, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds producing a minimum near 25–26°C.** This aligns with historical climatology showing average lows around 24°C and recent August 2026 observations where minima have clustered in the mid-20s despite daytime highs near 30–32°C. Possible scattered drizzle or increased cloud cover may limit further cooling by reducing clear-sky heat loss, while moderate humidity (around 60–70%) and sea-breeze influences support the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer patterns against minor model spread for the exact overnight low, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 24°C or above 27°C pending the final Israel Meteorological Service data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30?
27°C 49%
26°C 49%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
20°C or below
6%
21°C
47%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
47%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
6%
27°C 49%
26°C 49%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
6%
21°C
$0 Vol.
47%
22°C
$4 Vol.
48%
23°C
$4 Vol.
48%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$2 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
47%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS indicate typical late-August Mediterranean conditions for Tel Aviv on August 30, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds producing a minimum near 25–26°C.**
This aligns with historical climatology showing average lows around 24°C and recent August 2026 observations where minima have clustered in the mid-20s despite daytime highs near 30–32°C. Possible scattered drizzle or increased cloud cover may limit further cooling by reducing clear-sky heat loss, while moderate humidity (around 60–70%) and sea-breeze influences support the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer patterns against minor model spread for the exact overnight low, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 24°C or above 27°C pending the final Israel Meteorological Service data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS indicate typical late-August Mediterranean conditions for Tel Aviv on August 30, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds producing a minimum near 25–26°C.**
This aligns with historical climatology showing average lows around 24°C and recent August 2026 observations where minima have clustered in the mid-20s despite daytime highs near 30–32°C. Possible scattered drizzle or increased cloud cover may limit further cooling by reducing clear-sky heat loss, while moderate humidity (around 60–70%) and sea-breeze influences support the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer patterns against minor model spread for the exact overnight low, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 24°C or above 27°C pending the final Israel Meteorological Service data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS indicate typical late-August Mediterranean conditions for Tel Aviv on August 30, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds producing a minimum near 25–26°C.** This aligns with historical climatology showing average lows around 24°C and recent August 2026 observations where minima have clustered in the mid-20s despite daytime highs near 30–32°C. Possible scattered drizzle or increased cloud cover may limit further cooling by reducing clear-sky heat loss, while moderate humidity (around 60–70%) and sea-breeze influences support the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer patterns against minor model spread for the exact overnight low, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 24°C or above 27°C pending the final Israel Meteorological Service data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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