Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv highs of 29–31°C on September 23, aligning with trader consensus around 30–31°C. Stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy to clear skies support typical late-September diurnal heating, moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes and moderate humidity near 50–60% at peak. Recent September warmth, with prior maxima reaching 35°C, provides a slightly elevated baseline, though no strong warm advection is expected. Model spread centers on afternoon peak timing and minor cloud variations, creating the tight probabilities between 29–33°C. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the date will refine exact maximum readings for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 23?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 23?
30°C 48%
31°C 40%
33°C 39%
29°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
22%
29°C
37%
30°C
30%
31°C
26%
32°C
17%
33°C
39%
34°C
16%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
2%
30°C 48%
31°C 40%
33°C 39%
29°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C
$0 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
37%
30°C
$26 Vol.
30%
31°C
$3 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
17%
33°C
$0 Vol.
39%
34°C
$0 Vol.
16%
35°C
$0 Vol.
4%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv highs of 29–31°C on September 23, aligning with trader consensus around 30–31°C. Stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy to clear skies support typical late-September diurnal heating, moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes and moderate humidity near 50–60% at peak. Recent September warmth, with prior maxima reaching 35°C, provides a slightly elevated baseline, though no strong warm advection is expected. Model spread centers on afternoon peak timing and minor cloud variations, creating the tight probabilities between 29–33°C. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the date will refine exact maximum readings for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$29End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv highs of 29–31°C on September 23, aligning with trader consensus around 30–31°C. Stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy to clear skies support typical late-September diurnal heating, moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes and moderate humidity near 50–60% at peak. Recent September warmth, with prior maxima reaching 35°C, provides a slightly elevated baseline, though no strong warm advection is expected. Model spread centers on afternoon peak timing and minor cloud variations, creating the tight probabilities between 29–33°C. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the date will refine exact maximum readings for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv highs of 29–31°C on September 23, aligning with trader consensus around 30–31°C. Stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy to clear skies support typical late-September diurnal heating, moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes and moderate humidity near 50–60% at peak. Recent September warmth, with prior maxima reaching 35°C, provides a slightly elevated baseline, though no strong warm advection is expected. Model spread centers on afternoon peak timing and minor cloud variations, creating the tight probabilities between 29–33°C. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the date will refine exact maximum readings for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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