Latest meteorological forecasts and real-time observations from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency position Tokyo’s June 8 maximum temperature at exactly 23°C, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. This aligns with early June climatological norms, when average daily highs typically range 22–25°C ahead of the peak rainy season and associated humidity increases. Forecast model consensus shows stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming or cooling influences from regional pressure systems. While the strong market-implied probability reflects trader confidence in current data, resolution depends on the official daily high reading; minor revisions in final observations or localized microclimate effects could theoretically alter the exact value, though such shifts appear improbable given the locked-in guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 8?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 8?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$114,409 Vol.
$114,409 Vol.
Jun 8, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$114,409 Vol.
$114,409 Vol.
Jun 8, 2026
18°C or below
$733 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,880 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,438 Vol.
No
21°C
$16,536 Vol.
No
22°C
$13,047 Vol.
No
23°C
$26,457 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$15,386 Vol.
No
25°C
$13,061 Vol.
No
26°C
$19,767 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,815 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$289 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts and real-time observations from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency position Tokyo’s June 8 maximum temperature at exactly 23°C, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. This aligns with early June climatological norms, when average daily highs typically range 22–25°C ahead of the peak rainy season and associated humidity increases. Forecast model consensus shows stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming or cooling influences from regional pressure systems. While the strong market-implied probability reflects trader confidence in current data, resolution depends on the official daily high reading; minor revisions in final observations or localized microclimate effects could theoretically alter the exact value, though such shifts appear improbable given the locked-in guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 6, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volume
$114,409End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 6, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts and real-time observations from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency position Tokyo’s June 8 maximum temperature at exactly 23°C, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. This aligns with early June climatological norms, when average daily highs typically range 22–25°C ahead of the peak rainy season and associated humidity increases. Forecast model consensus shows stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming or cooling influences from regional pressure systems. While the strong market-implied probability reflects trader confidence in current data, resolution depends on the official daily high reading; minor revisions in final observations or localized microclimate effects could theoretically alter the exact value, though such shifts appear improbable given the locked-in guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$114,409End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 6, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest meteorological forecasts and real-time observations from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency position Tokyo’s June 8 maximum temperature at exactly 23°C, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. This aligns with early June climatological norms, when average daily highs typically range 22–25°C ahead of the peak rainy season and associated humidity increases. Forecast model consensus shows stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming or cooling influences from regional pressure systems. While the strong market-implied probability reflects trader confidence in current data, resolution depends on the official daily high reading; minor revisions in final observations or localized microclimate effects could theoretically alter the exact value, though such shifts appear improbable given the locked-in guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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