Traders have converged on 30°C as the day's high in Zhengzhou with near-certainty because multiple official forecasts, including those aligned with NOAA and regional models, project a peak of 29–30°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds around 5–8 mph, and minimal precipitation risk. Current observations through midday show temperatures climbing steadily toward this range from overnight lows near 20°C, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. This strong model consensus and real-time data leave little room for deviation. A sudden increase in cloud cover suppressing insolation or an unforecasted wind shift could theoretically cap the high below 30°C, though such changes appear improbable given the stable atmospheric setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 2?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 2?
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$4,614 Vol.
$4,614 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$4,614 Vol.
$4,614 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
$85 Vol.
No
23°C
$160 Vol.
No
24°C
$100 Vol.
No
25°C
$117 Vol.
No
26°C
$201 Vol.
No
27°C
$191 Vol.
No
28°C
$366 Vol.
No
29°C
$510 Vol.
No
30°C
$803 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$984 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$1,097 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 30°C as the day's high in Zhengzhou with near-certainty because multiple official forecasts, including those aligned with NOAA and regional models, project a peak of 29–30°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds around 5–8 mph, and minimal precipitation risk. Current observations through midday show temperatures climbing steadily toward this range from overnight lows near 20°C, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. This strong model consensus and real-time data leave little room for deviation. A sudden increase in cloud cover suppressing insolation or an unforecasted wind shift could theoretically cap the high below 30°C, though such changes appear improbable given the stable atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,614End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 30°C as the day's high in Zhengzhou with near-certainty because multiple official forecasts, including those aligned with NOAA and regional models, project a peak of 29–30°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds around 5–8 mph, and minimal precipitation risk. Current observations through midday show temperatures climbing steadily toward this range from overnight lows near 20°C, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. This strong model consensus and real-time data leave little room for deviation. A sudden increase in cloud cover suppressing insolation or an unforecasted wind shift could theoretically cap the high below 30°C, though such changes appear improbable given the stable atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,614End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged on 30°C as the day's high in Zhengzhou with near-certainty because multiple official forecasts, including those aligned with NOAA and regional models, project a peak of 29–30°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds around 5–8 mph, and minimal precipitation risk. Current observations through midday show temperatures climbing steadily toward this range from overnight lows near 20°C, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. This strong model consensus and real-time data leave little room for deviation. A sudden increase in cloud cover suppressing insolation or an unforecasted wind shift could theoretically cap the high below 30°C, though such changes appear improbable given the stable atmospheric setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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