Latest forecast models from European and Russian meteorological agencies indicate a high temperature near 21–22°C for Moscow on September 2, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. A shift to southwesterly flow is expected to moderate temperatures after warmer conditions on September 1, with increased cloud cover and light showers limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to the short lead time, though small variations in frontal timing could push the peak a degree either way. This places the projected maximum slightly above the early-September climatological average of roughly 19°C, reflecting the influence of residual warm air advection before cooler northwesterly winds arrive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 2?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 2?
21°C 28%
20°C 26%
22°C 25%
18°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
15°C or below
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
3%
18°C
19%
19°C
17%
20°C
26%
21°C
28%
22°C
25%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
5%
21°C 28%
20°C 26%
22°C 25%
18°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
15°C or below
$5 Vol.
5%
16°C
$5 Vol.
5%
17°C
$3 Vol.
3%
18°C
$15 Vol.
19%
19°C
$0 Vol.
17%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
28%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from European and Russian meteorological agencies indicate a high temperature near 21–22°C for Moscow on September 2, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. A shift to southwesterly flow is expected to moderate temperatures after warmer conditions on September 1, with increased cloud cover and light showers limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to the short lead time, though small variations in frontal timing could push the peak a degree either way. This places the projected maximum slightly above the early-September climatological average of roughly 19°C, reflecting the influence of residual warm air advection before cooler northwesterly winds arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$33End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from European and Russian meteorological agencies indicate a high temperature near 21–22°C for Moscow on September 2, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. A shift to southwesterly flow is expected to moderate temperatures after warmer conditions on September 1, with increased cloud cover and light showers limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to the short lead time, though small variations in frontal timing could push the peak a degree either way. This places the projected maximum slightly above the early-September climatological average of roughly 19°C, reflecting the influence of residual warm air advection before cooler northwesterly winds arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from European and Russian meteorological agencies indicate a high temperature near 21–22°C for Moscow on September 2, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. A shift to southwesterly flow is expected to moderate temperatures after warmer conditions on September 1, with increased cloud cover and light showers limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to the short lead time, though small variations in frontal timing could push the peak a degree either way. This places the projected maximum slightly above the early-September climatological average of roughly 19°C, reflecting the influence of residual warm air advection before cooler northwesterly winds arrive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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