**Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers associated with an approaching frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in Zhengzhou, positioning 22°C or below as the leading market outcome at 49% implied probability.** Official guidance from regional models and stations such as Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport indicates a maximum near 22–24°C on September 24 under overcast skies, with easterly flow and 50–90% precipitation chances limiting solar insolation and boundary-layer warming. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the North China Plain, where post-summer monsoon moisture and weak pressure gradients favor cooler, humid conditions rather than peak insolation. Forecast consistency across global and local ensembles reduces the likelihood of clearing that could push readings to 25°C or higher, though minor variations in rainfall timing could still shift the exact maximum within the favored range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 24?
22°C or below 93%
24°C 40%
23°C 39%
26°C 39%
22°C or below
93%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
30%
26°C
39%
27°C
8%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
2%
22°C or below 93%
24°C 40%
23°C 39%
26°C 39%
22°C or below
93%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
30%
26°C
39%
27°C
8%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers associated with an approaching frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in Zhengzhou, positioning 22°C or below as the leading market outcome at 49% implied probability.** Official guidance from regional models and stations such as Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport indicates a maximum near 22–24°C on September 24 under overcast skies, with easterly flow and 50–90% precipitation chances limiting solar insolation and boundary-layer warming. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the North China Plain, where post-summer monsoon moisture and weak pressure gradients favor cooler, humid conditions rather than peak insolation. Forecast consistency across global and local ensembles reduces the likelihood of clearing that could push readings to 25°C or higher, though minor variations in rainfall timing could still shift the exact maximum within the favored range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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