**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 23 high temperature reflects tight clustering around 29–30 °C amid modest model spread and persistent cloud cover.** Numerical guidance, including GFS runs, consistently projects an afternoon peak near 29–30 °C (84–86 °F) under light southerly flow and high humidity, with dew points supporting warm-air advection but limited insolation from widespread stratiform clouds. Brief clearing or slight model warm bias could push readings to 31–32 °C, explaining the 23 % market share on 32 °C or higher, while stronger cloud persistence or earlier rain onset keeps the distribution anchored at 29–30 °C. Light winds reduce mixing, so surface temperatures hinge on the exact timing and coverage of any breaks in the overcast layer. Official observations through the afternoon will resolve the narrow 1 °C increments that currently divide the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 23?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 23?
30°C 48%
32°C or higher 47%
29°C 38%
31°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
29%
30°C
30%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
47%
30°C 48%
32°C or higher 47%
29°C 38%
31°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
22°C or below
$1,147 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$865 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,211 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$21 Vol.
29%
30°C
$48 Vol.
30%
31°C
$11 Vol.
22%
32°C or higher
$56 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 23 high temperature reflects tight clustering around 29–30 °C amid modest model spread and persistent cloud cover.** Numerical guidance, including GFS runs, consistently projects an afternoon peak near 29–30 °C (84–86 °F) under light southerly flow and high humidity, with dew points supporting warm-air advection but limited insolation from widespread stratiform clouds. Brief clearing or slight model warm bias could push readings to 31–32 °C, explaining the 23 % market share on 32 °C or higher, while stronger cloud persistence or earlier rain onset keeps the distribution anchored at 29–30 °C. Light winds reduce mixing, so surface temperatures hinge on the exact timing and coverage of any breaks in the overcast layer. Official observations through the afternoon will resolve the narrow 1 °C increments that currently divide the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,812End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 23 high temperature reflects tight clustering around 29–30 °C amid modest model spread and persistent cloud cover.** Numerical guidance, including GFS runs, consistently projects an afternoon peak near 29–30 °C (84–86 °F) under light southerly flow and high humidity, with dew points supporting warm-air advection but limited insolation from widespread stratiform clouds. Brief clearing or slight model warm bias could push readings to 31–32 °C, explaining the 23 % market share on 32 °C or higher, while stronger cloud persistence or earlier rain onset keeps the distribution anchored at 29–30 °C. Light winds reduce mixing, so surface temperatures hinge on the exact timing and coverage of any breaks in the overcast layer. Official observations through the afternoon will resolve the narrow 1 °C increments that currently divide the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,812End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 23 high temperature reflects tight clustering around 29–30 °C amid modest model spread and persistent cloud cover.** Numerical guidance, including GFS runs, consistently projects an afternoon peak near 29–30 °C (84–86 °F) under light southerly flow and high humidity, with dew points supporting warm-air advection but limited insolation from widespread stratiform clouds. Brief clearing or slight model warm bias could push readings to 31–32 °C, explaining the 23 % market share on 32 °C or higher, while stronger cloud persistence or earlier rain onset keeps the distribution anchored at 29–30 °C. Light winds reduce mixing, so surface temperatures hinge on the exact timing and coverage of any breaks in the overcast layer. Official observations through the afternoon will resolve the narrow 1 °C increments that currently divide the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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