Current short-term forecast models, including ECMWF guidance, indicate a stable high-pressure regime with northwest winds and partly clear skies over Amsterdam on September 24, supporting an expected overnight minimum near 10–12°C as the primary driver of the distributed market odds. Clear conditions promote radiational cooling under light winds, while dew points near 9–11°C and modest daytime highs around 18°C limit further drops; historical September minima average near 11°C but vary with cloud cover and frontal timing. Key variables include any increase in overnight cloudiness or wind, which could hold temperatures at 12–13°C, versus stronger cooling under clear, calm conditions pushing toward 9–10°C or below. Updated model runs and official observations from KNMI in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria around exact minimum thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 24?
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
2%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
13%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C or higher
2%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$5 Vol.
13%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast models, including ECMWF guidance, indicate a stable high-pressure regime with northwest winds and partly clear skies over Amsterdam on September 24, supporting an expected overnight minimum near 10–12°C as the primary driver of the distributed market odds. Clear conditions promote radiational cooling under light winds, while dew points near 9–11°C and modest daytime highs around 18°C limit further drops; historical September minima average near 11°C but vary with cloud cover and frontal timing. Key variables include any increase in overnight cloudiness or wind, which could hold temperatures at 12–13°C, versus stronger cooling under clear, calm conditions pushing toward 9–10°C or below. Updated model runs and official observations from KNMI in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria around exact minimum thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$5End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast models, including ECMWF guidance, indicate a stable high-pressure regime with northwest winds and partly clear skies over Amsterdam on September 24, supporting an expected overnight minimum near 10–12°C as the primary driver of the distributed market odds. Clear conditions promote radiational cooling under light winds, while dew points near 9–11°C and modest daytime highs around 18°C limit further drops; historical September minima average near 11°C but vary with cloud cover and frontal timing. Key variables include any increase in overnight cloudiness or wind, which could hold temperatures at 12–13°C, versus stronger cooling under clear, calm conditions pushing toward 9–10°C or below. Updated model runs and official observations from KNMI in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria around exact minimum thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecast models, including ECMWF guidance, indicate a stable high-pressure regime with northwest winds and partly clear skies over Amsterdam on September 24, supporting an expected overnight minimum near 10–12°C as the primary driver of the distributed market odds. Clear conditions promote radiational cooling under light winds, while dew points near 9–11°C and modest daytime highs around 18°C limit further drops; historical September minima average near 11°C but vary with cloud cover and frontal timing. Key variables include any increase in overnight cloudiness or wind, which could hold temperatures at 12–13°C, versus stronger cooling under clear, calm conditions pushing toward 9–10°C or below. Updated model runs and official observations from KNMI in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria around exact minimum thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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