**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity overnight are the main drivers pushing trader focus toward a 14°C low for Ankara on September 1, 2026.** Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources (including hourly runs) indicate the temperature will fall to around 14–16°C in the early morning hours after a sunny day reaching ~30°C, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong radiative cooling over the Anatolian plateau. Light winds (generally 1–3 m/s) and dew points in the low teens limit mixing and moisture retention, supporting the mid-teen minimum. Historical early-September baselines for Ankara (typically 14–16°C lows) align with current conditions, and no major synoptic shifts—such as incoming fronts or increased cloudiness—have appeared in the latest model consensus. The near-even market pricing across 12–14°C outcomes reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighing slight model differences in minimum timing and exact station readings (e.g., Esenboğa Airport versus central Ankara). Official verification will come from the Turkish Meteorological Service’s daily minimum report.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
11°C 93%
14°C 51%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
10°C or below
-
11°C
93%
12°C
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
51%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
11°C 93%
14°C 51%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
10°C or below
$25 Vol.
-
11°C
$8 Vol.
93%
12°C
$0 Vol.
100%
13°C
$0 Vol.
100%
14°C
$0 Vol.
51%
15°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$210 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity overnight are the main drivers pushing trader focus toward a 14°C low for Ankara on September 1, 2026.**
Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources (including hourly runs) indicate the temperature will fall to around 14–16°C in the early morning hours after a sunny day reaching ~30°C, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong radiative cooling over the Anatolian plateau. Light winds (generally 1–3 m/s) and dew points in the low teens limit mixing and moisture retention, supporting the mid-teen minimum.
Historical early-September baselines for Ankara (typically 14–16°C lows) align with current conditions, and no major synoptic shifts—such as incoming fronts or increased cloudiness—have appeared in the latest model consensus. The near-even market pricing across 12–14°C outcomes reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighing slight model differences in minimum timing and exact station readings (e.g., Esenboğa Airport versus central Ankara). Official verification will come from the Turkish Meteorological Service’s daily minimum report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$523End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity overnight are the main drivers pushing trader focus toward a 14°C low for Ankara on September 1, 2026.**
Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources (including hourly runs) indicate the temperature will fall to around 14–16°C in the early morning hours after a sunny day reaching ~30°C, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong radiative cooling over the Anatolian plateau. Light winds (generally 1–3 m/s) and dew points in the low teens limit mixing and moisture retention, supporting the mid-teen minimum.
Historical early-September baselines for Ankara (typically 14–16°C lows) align with current conditions, and no major synoptic shifts—such as incoming fronts or increased cloudiness—have appeared in the latest model consensus. The near-even market pricing across 12–14°C outcomes reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighing slight model differences in minimum timing and exact station readings (e.g., Esenboğa Airport versus central Ankara). Official verification will come from the Turkish Meteorological Service’s daily minimum report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$523End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity overnight are the main drivers pushing trader focus toward a 14°C low for Ankara on September 1, 2026.** Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources (including hourly runs) indicate the temperature will fall to around 14–16°C in the early morning hours after a sunny day reaching ~30°C, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong radiative cooling over the Anatolian plateau. Light winds (generally 1–3 m/s) and dew points in the low teens limit mixing and moisture retention, supporting the mid-teen minimum. Historical early-September baselines for Ankara (typically 14–16°C lows) align with current conditions, and no major synoptic shifts—such as incoming fronts or increased cloudiness—have appeared in the latest model consensus. The near-even market pricing across 12–14°C outcomes reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighing slight model differences in minimum timing and exact station readings (e.g., Esenboğa Airport versus central Ankara). Official verification will come from the Turkish Meteorological Service’s daily minimum report.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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