Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Ankara on September 2 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market’s dominant 30°C (54%) and 31°C (42%) outcomes. These conditions reflect typical early-September continental climate patterns in central Turkey, where daytime heating peaks in the afternoon amid dry air and stable high pressure, slightly above the historical average high near 28°C. Model consensus shows low uncertainty in maximum temperatures, with negligible precipitation risk supporting trader focus on these two values rather than outliers. Updated runs through September 1 reinforce this narrow range ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 2?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 2?
30°C 54%
31°C 43%
29°C 5%
32°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
54%
31°C
43%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 54%
31°C 43%
29°C 5%
32°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
26°C or below
$320 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,309 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,847 Vol.
54%
31°C
$3,010 Vol.
43%
32°C
$428 Vol.
3%
33°C
$283 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$207 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$348 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Ankara on September 2 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market’s dominant 30°C (54%) and 31°C (42%) outcomes. These conditions reflect typical early-September continental climate patterns in central Turkey, where daytime heating peaks in the afternoon amid dry air and stable high pressure, slightly above the historical average high near 28°C. Model consensus shows low uncertainty in maximum temperatures, with negligible precipitation risk supporting trader focus on these two values rather than outliers. Updated runs through September 1 reinforce this narrow range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,634End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Ankara on September 2 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market’s dominant 30°C (54%) and 31°C (42%) outcomes. These conditions reflect typical early-September continental climate patterns in central Turkey, where daytime heating peaks in the afternoon amid dry air and stable high pressure, slightly above the historical average high near 28°C. Model consensus shows low uncertainty in maximum temperatures, with negligible precipitation risk supporting trader focus on these two values rather than outliers. Updated runs through September 1 reinforce this narrow range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,634End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Ankara on September 2 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market’s dominant 30°C (54%) and 31°C (42%) outcomes. These conditions reflect typical early-September continental climate patterns in central Turkey, where daytime heating peaks in the afternoon amid dry air and stable high pressure, slightly above the historical average high near 28°C. Model consensus shows low uncertainty in maximum temperatures, with negligible precipitation risk supporting trader focus on these two values rather than outliers. Updated runs through September 1 reinforce this narrow range ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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