Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate moderating temperatures in Istanbul due to persistent northeasterly winds and a typical early-September cooling trend, positioning 26°C as the market leader with strong implied probability. Official outlooks show daytime highs of 27–29°C under mostly sunny conditions, with low precipitation risk, yet ensemble consensus and historical baselines near 28°C support trader focus on the lower end of that range amid minor model variability. Upcoming NHC-style regional updates and local station data on September 2–3 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
26°C 54%
27°C 26%
25°C 17%
28°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
17%
26°C
54%
27°C
26%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
27°C 26%
25°C 17%
28°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C
$42 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$38 Vol.
4%
25°C
$59 Vol.
17%
26°C
$1,932 Vol.
54%
27°C
$36 Vol.
26%
28°C
$65 Vol.
6%
29°C
$31 Vol.
2%
30°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate moderating temperatures in Istanbul due to persistent northeasterly winds and a typical early-September cooling trend, positioning 26°C as the market leader with strong implied probability. Official outlooks show daytime highs of 27–29°C under mostly sunny conditions, with low precipitation risk, yet ensemble consensus and historical baselines near 28°C support trader focus on the lower end of that range amid minor model variability. Upcoming NHC-style regional updates and local station data on September 2–3 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,274End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate moderating temperatures in Istanbul due to persistent northeasterly winds and a typical early-September cooling trend, positioning 26°C as the market leader with strong implied probability. Official outlooks show daytime highs of 27–29°C under mostly sunny conditions, with low precipitation risk, yet ensemble consensus and historical baselines near 28°C support trader focus on the lower end of that range amid minor model variability. Upcoming NHC-style regional updates and local station data on September 2–3 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,274End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate moderating temperatures in Istanbul due to persistent northeasterly winds and a typical early-September cooling trend, positioning 26°C as the market leader with strong implied probability. Official outlooks show daytime highs of 27–29°C under mostly sunny conditions, with low precipitation risk, yet ensemble consensus and historical baselines near 28°C support trader focus on the lower end of that range amid minor model variability. Upcoming NHC-style regional updates and local station data on September 2–3 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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