Recent short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions over Istanbul on September 2, with northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h moderating daytime heating under a stable high-pressure regime. Model consensus points to a maximum near 28–29 °C, close to the early-September climatological average of 27–28 °C, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points in the mid-teens supporting efficient radiational cooling overnight. Trader-implied probabilities clustering around 26–27 °C likely incorporate remaining model spread, potential micro-climate differences at the official station, and historical verification bias in the final 48 hours before resolution. No significant synoptic changes—such as frontal passages or enhanced sea-breeze effects—are expected to alter this baseline before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 2?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 2?
26°C 48%
27°C 30%
25°C 28%
24°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
25%
25°C
28%
26°C
48%
27°C
30%
28°C
25%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
27°C 30%
25°C 28%
24°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
23°C
$4 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$16 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions over Istanbul on September 2, with northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h moderating daytime heating under a stable high-pressure regime. Model consensus points to a maximum near 28–29 °C, close to the early-September climatological average of 27–28 °C, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points in the mid-teens supporting efficient radiational cooling overnight. Trader-implied probabilities clustering around 26–27 °C likely incorporate remaining model spread, potential micro-climate differences at the official station, and historical verification bias in the final 48 hours before resolution. No significant synoptic changes—such as frontal passages or enhanced sea-breeze effects—are expected to alter this baseline before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions over Istanbul on September 2, with northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h moderating daytime heating under a stable high-pressure regime. Model consensus points to a maximum near 28–29 °C, close to the early-September climatological average of 27–28 °C, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points in the mid-teens supporting efficient radiational cooling overnight. Trader-implied probabilities clustering around 26–27 °C likely incorporate remaining model spread, potential micro-climate differences at the official station, and historical verification bias in the final 48 hours before resolution. No significant synoptic changes—such as frontal passages or enhanced sea-breeze effects—are expected to alter this baseline before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions over Istanbul on September 2, with northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h moderating daytime heating under a stable high-pressure regime. Model consensus points to a maximum near 28–29 °C, close to the early-September climatological average of 27–28 °C, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points in the mid-teens supporting efficient radiational cooling overnight. Trader-implied probabilities clustering around 26–27 °C likely incorporate remaining model spread, potential micro-climate differences at the official station, and historical verification bias in the final 48 hours before resolution. No significant synoptic changes—such as frontal passages or enhanced sea-breeze effects—are expected to alter this baseline before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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