Official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and international models indicate a peak of 30°C in Ankara on September 1 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation, aligning closely with early-September climatology. Hourly data show afternoon maxima near 30°C following morning lows around 16–20°C, with dry conditions and moderate humidity supporting efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to suppress temperatures. Trader consensus at 64.5% for 30°C and 32.5% for 31°C reflects model agreement on these thresholds, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below account for minor cooling from variable winds or residual cloud. No major forecast revisions have shifted the outlook in the past day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
30°C 66%
31°C 34%
29°C 6%
27°C <1%
$17,101 Vol.
$17,101 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
66%
31°C
34%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 66%
31°C 34%
29°C 6%
27°C <1%
$17,101 Vol.
$17,101 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
$213 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,205 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$537 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,629 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2,907 Vol.
6%
30°C
$3,737 Vol.
66%
31°C
$3,822 Vol.
34%
32°C
$1,708 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$868 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and international models indicate a peak of 30°C in Ankara on September 1 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation, aligning closely with early-September climatology. Hourly data show afternoon maxima near 30°C following morning lows around 16–20°C, with dry conditions and moderate humidity supporting efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to suppress temperatures. Trader consensus at 64.5% for 30°C and 32.5% for 31°C reflects model agreement on these thresholds, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below account for minor cooling from variable winds or residual cloud. No major forecast revisions have shifted the outlook in the past day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$17,101End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and international models indicate a peak of 30°C in Ankara on September 1 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation, aligning closely with early-September climatology. Hourly data show afternoon maxima near 30°C following morning lows around 16–20°C, with dry conditions and moderate humidity supporting efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to suppress temperatures. Trader consensus at 64.5% for 30°C and 32.5% for 31°C reflects model agreement on these thresholds, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below account for minor cooling from variable winds or residual cloud. No major forecast revisions have shifted the outlook in the past day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,101End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and international models indicate a peak of 30°C in Ankara on September 1 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation, aligning closely with early-September climatology. Hourly data show afternoon maxima near 30°C following morning lows around 16–20°C, with dry conditions and moderate humidity supporting efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to suppress temperatures. Trader consensus at 64.5% for 30°C and 32.5% for 31°C reflects model agreement on these thresholds, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below account for minor cooling from variable winds or residual cloud. No major forecast revisions have shifted the outlook in the past day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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