Current forecasts from multiple models project Ankara's overnight low on September 2 near 16–17°C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around that threshold. Stable high pressure promotes radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points near 10–11°C limiting further drops, while the city's 900 m elevation aids modest nocturnal temperature decline. Traders appear divided between the 13°C-or-below and 16°C outcomes due to typical ensemble spread in minimum temperature guidance and local urban heat island effects. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the focus on fine-scale wind and cloud variations that could alter the precise low by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 2?
13°C or below 100%
16°C 98%
17°C 98%
15°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
13°C or below
100%
14°C
40%
15°C
50%
16°C
98%
17°C
98%
18°C
15%
19°C
14%
20°C
3%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C or higher
2%
13°C or below 100%
16°C 98%
17°C 98%
15°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$0 Vol.
98%
17°C
$0 Vol.
98%
18°C
$5 Vol.
15%
19°C
$5 Vol.
14%
20°C
$5 Vol.
3%
21°C
$5 Vol.
5%
22°C
$5 Vol.
13%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models project Ankara's overnight low on September 2 near 16–17°C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around that threshold. Stable high pressure promotes radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points near 10–11°C limiting further drops, while the city's 900 m elevation aids modest nocturnal temperature decline. Traders appear divided between the 13°C-or-below and 16°C outcomes due to typical ensemble spread in minimum temperature guidance and local urban heat island effects. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the focus on fine-scale wind and cloud variations that could alter the precise low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models project Ankara's overnight low on September 2 near 16–17°C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around that threshold. Stable high pressure promotes radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points near 10–11°C limiting further drops, while the city's 900 m elevation aids modest nocturnal temperature decline. Traders appear divided between the 13°C-or-below and 16°C outcomes due to typical ensemble spread in minimum temperature guidance and local urban heat island effects. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the focus on fine-scale wind and cloud variations that could alter the precise low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models project Ankara's overnight low on September 2 near 16–17°C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around that threshold. Stable high pressure promotes radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points near 10–11°C limiting further drops, while the city's 900 m elevation aids modest nocturnal temperature decline. Traders appear divided between the 13°C-or-below and 16°C outcomes due to typical ensemble spread in minimum temperature guidance and local urban heat island effects. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the focus on fine-scale wind and cloud variations that could alter the precise low by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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