Recent forecasts for Beijing indicate a seasonal cooling trend in late August, with overnight lows potentially dipping toward 18–20°C amid light rain or increased cloud cover on the 27th that enhances radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration highlights variable steering patterns and possible frontal influences differentiating sub-18°C scenarios from warmer ones near 21–22°C, while urban heat retention and humidity levels add uncertainty to minimum readings. With outcomes tightly clustered, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs and historical late-summer baselines around 19–21°C against the risk of clearer skies or lingering warmth pushing temperatures higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
17°C or below 77%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
23°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
17°C or below
77%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
30%
21°C
31%
22°C
25%
23°C
49%
24°C
2%
25°C
15%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
9%
17°C or below 77%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
23°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
77%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
30%
21°C
$0 Vol.
31%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
15%
26°C
$0 Vol.
13%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing indicate a seasonal cooling trend in late August, with overnight lows potentially dipping toward 18–20°C amid light rain or increased cloud cover on the 27th that enhances radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration highlights variable steering patterns and possible frontal influences differentiating sub-18°C scenarios from warmer ones near 21–22°C, while urban heat retention and humidity levels add uncertainty to minimum readings. With outcomes tightly clustered, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs and historical late-summer baselines around 19–21°C against the risk of clearer skies or lingering warmth pushing temperatures higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing indicate a seasonal cooling trend in late August, with overnight lows potentially dipping toward 18–20°C amid light rain or increased cloud cover on the 27th that enhances radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration highlights variable steering patterns and possible frontal influences differentiating sub-18°C scenarios from warmer ones near 21–22°C, while urban heat retention and humidity levels add uncertainty to minimum readings. With outcomes tightly clustered, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs and historical late-summer baselines around 19–21°C against the risk of clearer skies or lingering warmth pushing temperatures higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Beijing indicate a seasonal cooling trend in late August, with overnight lows potentially dipping toward 18–20°C amid light rain or increased cloud cover on the 27th that enhances radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration highlights variable steering patterns and possible frontal influences differentiating sub-18°C scenarios from warmer ones near 21–22°C, while urban heat retention and humidity levels add uncertainty to minimum readings. With outcomes tightly clustered, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs and historical late-summer baselines around 19–21°C against the risk of clearer skies or lingering warmth pushing temperatures higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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