Recent forecasts from multiple models show persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow moderating overnight lows in Busan around 24–27 °C for August 29, below the late-August climatological average near 25 °C. This pattern, driven by lingering East Asian monsoon moisture and nearby tropical cyclone remnants, favors enhanced radiative cooling and reduced daytime heat storage, elevating implied probabilities for the 22–26 °C brackets. Key uncertainties center on exact rainfall timing and wind shifts that could alter boundary-layer mixing; clearer breaks would support higher minima near 27–28 °C, while heavier overnight rain could push readings lower. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 29?
22°C or below 55%
29°C 49%
32°C or higher 45%
26°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
55%
23°C
24%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
45%
22°C or below 55%
29°C 49%
32°C or higher 45%
26°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
55%
23°C
$6 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$5 Vol.
49%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$5 Vol.
8%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow moderating overnight lows in Busan around 24–27 °C for August 29, below the late-August climatological average near 25 °C. This pattern, driven by lingering East Asian monsoon moisture and nearby tropical cyclone remnants, favors enhanced radiative cooling and reduced daytime heat storage, elevating implied probabilities for the 22–26 °C brackets. Key uncertainties center on exact rainfall timing and wind shifts that could alter boundary-layer mixing; clearer breaks would support higher minima near 27–28 °C, while heavier overnight rain could push readings lower. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$31End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow moderating overnight lows in Busan around 24–27 °C for August 29, below the late-August climatological average near 25 °C. This pattern, driven by lingering East Asian monsoon moisture and nearby tropical cyclone remnants, favors enhanced radiative cooling and reduced daytime heat storage, elevating implied probabilities for the 22–26 °C brackets. Key uncertainties center on exact rainfall timing and wind shifts that could alter boundary-layer mixing; clearer breaks would support higher minima near 27–28 °C, while heavier overnight rain could push readings lower. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow moderating overnight lows in Busan around 24–27 °C for August 29, below the late-August climatological average near 25 °C. This pattern, driven by lingering East Asian monsoon moisture and nearby tropical cyclone remnants, favors enhanced radiative cooling and reduced daytime heat storage, elevating implied probabilities for the 22–26 °C brackets. Key uncertainties center on exact rainfall timing and wind shifts that could alter boundary-layer mixing; clearer breaks would support higher minima near 27–28 °C, while heavier overnight rain could push readings lower. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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