Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a low near 10–12°C for Cape Town on August 30 under clearing skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, supporting the clustered market odds around 10–11°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be enhanced by low humidity, light-to-moderate winds limiting mixing, and dry air advection typical of late-winter high-pressure setups. Earlier August variability, including a mid-month cold front, has traders weighting the tail risk of 6°C or below (36.5% implied) if models trend cooler or if localized cooling exceeds ensemble means. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings at representative stations; fresh SAWS or international model updates over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the spread between the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
6°C or below 41%
10°C 29%
11°C 29%
9°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
41%
7°C
25%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
29%
11°C
29%
12°C
22%
13°C
2%
14°C
8%
15°C
11%
16°C or higher
11%
6°C or below 41%
10°C 29%
11°C 29%
9°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
41%
7°C
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$131 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
29%
11°C
$0 Vol.
29%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
8%
15°C
$5 Vol.
11%
16°C or higher
$5 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a low near 10–12°C for Cape Town on August 30 under clearing skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, supporting the clustered market odds around 10–11°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be enhanced by low humidity, light-to-moderate winds limiting mixing, and dry air advection typical of late-winter high-pressure setups. Earlier August variability, including a mid-month cold front, has traders weighting the tail risk of 6°C or below (36.5% implied) if models trend cooler or if localized cooling exceeds ensemble means. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings at representative stations; fresh SAWS or international model updates over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the spread between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$141End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a low near 10–12°C for Cape Town on August 30 under clearing skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, supporting the clustered market odds around 10–11°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be enhanced by low humidity, light-to-moderate winds limiting mixing, and dry air advection typical of late-winter high-pressure setups. Earlier August variability, including a mid-month cold front, has traders weighting the tail risk of 6°C or below (36.5% implied) if models trend cooler or if localized cooling exceeds ensemble means. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings at representative stations; fresh SAWS or international model updates over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the spread between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$141End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a low near 10–12°C for Cape Town on August 30 under clearing skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, supporting the clustered market odds around 10–11°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be enhanced by low humidity, light-to-moderate winds limiting mixing, and dry air advection typical of late-winter high-pressure setups. Earlier August variability, including a mid-month cold front, has traders weighting the tail risk of 6°C or below (36.5% implied) if models trend cooler or if localized cooling exceeds ensemble means. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings at representative stations; fresh SAWS or international model updates over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the spread between the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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