Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate persistent rain and cloud cover tied to the start of Chongqing's autumn rain period around September 15, which is suppressing temperatures and supporting market-implied odds clustered near 19–20°C for the September 17 low. Subtropical humidity, light winds under 3 m/s, and widespread precipitation are expected to limit radiative cooling while keeping overnight readings in the low 20s Celsius across most model runs, though variations in rainfall intensity and timing create divergence between outcomes near 22°C and cooler thresholds. Official guidance highlights 60–90 mm of accumulated rain through midweek, with higher amounts potentially enhancing cooling; updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 17?
25°C or higher 81%
15°C or below 67%
16°C 39%
21°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
67%
16°C
39%
17°C
22%
18°C
23%
19°C
27%
20°C
33%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
81%
25°C or higher 81%
15°C or below 67%
16°C 39%
21°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
67%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
23%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
33%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate persistent rain and cloud cover tied to the start of Chongqing's autumn rain period around September 15, which is suppressing temperatures and supporting market-implied odds clustered near 19–20°C for the September 17 low. Subtropical humidity, light winds under 3 m/s, and widespread precipitation are expected to limit radiative cooling while keeping overnight readings in the low 20s Celsius across most model runs, though variations in rainfall intensity and timing create divergence between outcomes near 22°C and cooler thresholds. Official guidance highlights 60–90 mm of accumulated rain through midweek, with higher amounts potentially enhancing cooling; updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate persistent rain and cloud cover tied to the start of Chongqing's autumn rain period around September 15, which is suppressing temperatures and supporting market-implied odds clustered near 19–20°C for the September 17 low. Subtropical humidity, light winds under 3 m/s, and widespread precipitation are expected to limit radiative cooling while keeping overnight readings in the low 20s Celsius across most model runs, though variations in rainfall intensity and timing create divergence between outcomes near 22°C and cooler thresholds. Official guidance highlights 60–90 mm of accumulated rain through midweek, with higher amounts potentially enhancing cooling; updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate persistent rain and cloud cover tied to the start of Chongqing's autumn rain period around September 15, which is suppressing temperatures and supporting market-implied odds clustered near 19–20°C for the September 17 low. Subtropical humidity, light winds under 3 m/s, and widespread precipitation are expected to limit radiative cooling while keeping overnight readings in the low 20s Celsius across most model runs, though variations in rainfall intensity and timing create divergence between outcomes near 22°C and cooler thresholds. Official guidance highlights 60–90 mm of accumulated rain through midweek, with higher amounts potentially enhancing cooling; updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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