Current forecast models for Guangzhou on August 29 indicate a minimum temperature centered on 26–28°C, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity and wind patterns from the northwest or southwest further influence the exact low by altering heat retention and moisture levels. The tightly clustered market odds around 25–28°C reflect this narrow ensemble spread across GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance, with limited divergence on intensification of any frontal influences or urban heat effects. Extreme outcomes below 22°C or above 30°C carry low probability given climatological baselines near 24–26°C and the absence of unusual cooling or warming signals in the latest runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
23°C 50%
22°C 48%
30°C 39%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
48%
23°C
50%
24°C
4%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
1%
23°C 50%
22°C 48%
30°C 39%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$265 Vol.
4%
22°C
$135 Vol.
48%
23°C
$5 Vol.
50%
24°C
$36 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$6 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$153 Vol.
39%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Guangzhou on August 29 indicate a minimum temperature centered on 26–28°C, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity and wind patterns from the northwest or southwest further influence the exact low by altering heat retention and moisture levels. The tightly clustered market odds around 25–28°C reflect this narrow ensemble spread across GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance, with limited divergence on intensification of any frontal influences or urban heat effects. Extreme outcomes below 22°C or above 30°C carry low probability given climatological baselines near 24–26°C and the absence of unusual cooling or warming signals in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$605End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Guangzhou on August 29 indicate a minimum temperature centered on 26–28°C, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity and wind patterns from the northwest or southwest further influence the exact low by altering heat retention and moisture levels. The tightly clustered market odds around 25–28°C reflect this narrow ensemble spread across GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance, with limited divergence on intensification of any frontal influences or urban heat effects. Extreme outcomes below 22°C or above 30°C carry low probability given climatological baselines near 24–26°C and the absence of unusual cooling or warming signals in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$605End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Guangzhou on August 29 indicate a minimum temperature centered on 26–28°C, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity and wind patterns from the northwest or southwest further influence the exact low by altering heat retention and moisture levels. The tightly clustered market odds around 25–28°C reflect this narrow ensemble spread across GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance, with limited divergence on intensification of any frontal influences or urban heat effects. Extreme outcomes below 22°C or above 30°C carry low probability given climatological baselines near 24–26°C and the absence of unusual cooling or warming signals in the latest runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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