Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 16, consistent with the seasonal average low of about 24°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show notable spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover, scattered rainfall from lingering monsoon moisture, and weak steering winds that could enhance or suppress radiative cooling. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these variables over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded at standard observation sites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 16?
20°C or below 89%
30°C or higher 89%
27°C 40%
28°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
89%
21°C
38%
22°C
24%
23°C
21%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
89%
20°C or below 89%
30°C or higher 89%
27°C 40%
28°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
89%
21°C
$0 Vol.
38%
22°C
$179 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 16, consistent with the seasonal average low of about 24°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show notable spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover, scattered rainfall from lingering monsoon moisture, and weak steering winds that could enhance or suppress radiative cooling. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these variables over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded at standard observation sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$173End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 16, consistent with the seasonal average low of about 24°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show notable spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover, scattered rainfall from lingering monsoon moisture, and weak steering winds that could enhance or suppress radiative cooling. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these variables over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded at standard observation sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$173End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 16, consistent with the seasonal average low of about 24°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show notable spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover, scattered rainfall from lingering monsoon moisture, and weak steering winds that could enhance or suppress radiative cooling. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these variables over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded at standard observation sites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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