Forecast models from agencies tracking Red Sea coastal conditions show typical August overnight lows in Jeddah near 29–31°C, with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity and stable air masses, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–32°C. Recent ensemble runs highlight small differences in predicted wind patterns and cloud cover that could nudge the minimum up or down by 1–2°C, while historical data place average August minima near 28–30°C. Traders appear to weigh these subtle variables against the narrow resolution thresholds, with upcoming daily updates from Saudi meteorological sources likely to refine the range before August 27.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on August 27?
32°C 50%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
33°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
5%
25°C
6%
26°C
10%
27°C
20%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
25%
31°C
26%
32°C
50%
33°C
49%
34°C or higher
2%
32°C 50%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
33°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
25%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
50%
33°C
$0 Vol.
49%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking Red Sea coastal conditions show typical August overnight lows in Jeddah near 29–31°C, with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity and stable air masses, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–32°C. Recent ensemble runs highlight small differences in predicted wind patterns and cloud cover that could nudge the minimum up or down by 1–2°C, while historical data place average August minima near 28–30°C. Traders appear to weigh these subtle variables against the narrow resolution thresholds, with upcoming daily updates from Saudi meteorological sources likely to refine the range before August 27.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking Red Sea coastal conditions show typical August overnight lows in Jeddah near 29–31°C, with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity and stable air masses, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–32°C. Recent ensemble runs highlight small differences in predicted wind patterns and cloud cover that could nudge the minimum up or down by 1–2°C, while historical data place average August minima near 28–30°C. Traders appear to weigh these subtle variables against the narrow resolution thresholds, with upcoming daily updates from Saudi meteorological sources likely to refine the range before August 27.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies tracking Red Sea coastal conditions show typical August overnight lows in Jeddah near 29–31°C, with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity and stable air masses, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–32°C. Recent ensemble runs highlight small differences in predicted wind patterns and cloud cover that could nudge the minimum up or down by 1–2°C, while historical data place average August minima near 28–30°C. Traders appear to weigh these subtle variables against the narrow resolution thresholds, with upcoming daily updates from Saudi meteorological sources likely to refine the range before August 27.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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