**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate Jinan’s overnight low on September 9 will likely settle between 13–16 °C, with the tightest clustering around 14–16 °C.** This range stems from partly cloudy to overcast skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry air that limit radiational cooling while preventing significant warming. Minor differences in model timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing produce the near-even market-implied odds between 15 °C and 16–17 °C outcomes. Historical September averages for the region hover near 18 °C lows, so current cooler, drier conditions under high pressure represent a modest departure that keeps probabilities concentrated in the mid-teens rather than pushing toward higher or much lower thresholds. Updated model runs and official station observations through the night will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 9?
15°C 50%
17°C 50%
16°C 49%
14°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
12°C or below
5%
13°C
7%
14°C
9%
15°C
50%
16°C
49%
17°C
50%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
15°C 50%
17°C 50%
16°C 49%
14°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
12°C or below
$15 Vol.
5%
13°C
$72 Vol.
7%
14°C
$72 Vol.
9%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$9 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
50%
18°C
$45 Vol.
1%
19°C
$95 Vol.
1%
20°C
$30 Vol.
2%
21°C
$30 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$105 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate Jinan’s overnight low on September 9 will likely settle between 13–16 °C, with the tightest clustering around 14–16 °C.** This range stems from partly cloudy to overcast skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry air that limit radiational cooling while preventing significant warming. Minor differences in model timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing produce the near-even market-implied odds between 15 °C and 16–17 °C outcomes. Historical September averages for the region hover near 18 °C lows, so current cooler, drier conditions under high pressure represent a modest departure that keeps probabilities concentrated in the mid-teens rather than pushing toward higher or much lower thresholds. Updated model runs and official station observations through the night will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$473End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate Jinan’s overnight low on September 9 will likely settle between 13–16 °C, with the tightest clustering around 14–16 °C.** This range stems from partly cloudy to overcast skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry air that limit radiational cooling while preventing significant warming. Minor differences in model timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing produce the near-even market-implied odds between 15 °C and 16–17 °C outcomes. Historical September averages for the region hover near 18 °C lows, so current cooler, drier conditions under high pressure represent a modest departure that keeps probabilities concentrated in the mid-teens rather than pushing toward higher or much lower thresholds. Updated model runs and official station observations through the night will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$473End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate Jinan’s overnight low on September 9 will likely settle between 13–16 °C, with the tightest clustering around 14–16 °C.** This range stems from partly cloudy to overcast skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry air that limit radiational cooling while preventing significant warming. Minor differences in model timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing produce the near-even market-implied odds between 15 °C and 16–17 °C outcomes. Historical September averages for the region hover near 18 °C lows, so current cooler, drier conditions under high pressure represent a modest departure that keeps probabilities concentrated in the mid-teens rather than pushing toward higher or much lower thresholds. Updated model runs and official station observations through the night will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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