Cold air advection associated with a strengthening northeasterly flow is the dominant driver behind current market-implied odds for Jinan’s September 9 high temperature. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a notable drop from recent 30–32 °C readings, with most models converging on a daytime maximum near 23–25 °C under increasing cloud cover and 3–4 m s⁻¹ winds. Uncertainties in frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing produce the wide probability distribution, particularly the 30.5 % chance attached to 26 °C or higher. Traders are weighting the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model runs that emphasize modest daytime heating limited by the cool air mass, while noting that any delay in the frontal passage could allow brief warming above 25 °C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on September 9?
Highest temperature in Jinan on September 9?
26°C or higher 71%
23°C 16%
24°C 16%
22°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
5%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
11%
23°C
16%
24°C
16%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
71%
26°C or higher 71%
23°C 16%
24°C 16%
22°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
$1,135 Vol.
5%
17°C
$25 Vol.
4%
18°C
$25 Vol.
2%
19°C
$25 Vol.
2%
20°C
$25 Vol.
4%
21°C
$100 Vol.
4%
22°C
$159 Vol.
11%
23°C
$42 Vol.
16%
24°C
$63 Vol.
16%
25°C
$22 Vol.
10%
26°C or higher
$40 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cold air advection associated with a strengthening northeasterly flow is the dominant driver behind current market-implied odds for Jinan’s September 9 high temperature. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a notable drop from recent 30–32 °C readings, with most models converging on a daytime maximum near 23–25 °C under increasing cloud cover and 3–4 m s⁻¹ winds. Uncertainties in frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing produce the wide probability distribution, particularly the 30.5 % chance attached to 26 °C or higher. Traders are weighting the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model runs that emphasize modest daytime heating limited by the cool air mass, while noting that any delay in the frontal passage could allow brief warming above 25 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,661End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cold air advection associated with a strengthening northeasterly flow is the dominant driver behind current market-implied odds for Jinan’s September 9 high temperature. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a notable drop from recent 30–32 °C readings, with most models converging on a daytime maximum near 23–25 °C under increasing cloud cover and 3–4 m s⁻¹ winds. Uncertainties in frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing produce the wide probability distribution, particularly the 30.5 % chance attached to 26 °C or higher. Traders are weighting the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model runs that emphasize modest daytime heating limited by the cool air mass, while noting that any delay in the frontal passage could allow brief warming above 25 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,661End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cold air advection associated with a strengthening northeasterly flow is the dominant driver behind current market-implied odds for Jinan’s September 9 high temperature. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a notable drop from recent 30–32 °C readings, with most models converging on a daytime maximum near 23–25 °C under increasing cloud cover and 3–4 m s⁻¹ winds. Uncertainties in frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing produce the wide probability distribution, particularly the 30.5 % chance attached to 26 °C or higher. Traders are weighting the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model runs that emphasize modest daytime heating limited by the cool air mass, while noting that any delay in the frontal passage could allow brief warming above 25 °C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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