Current forecasts from official Malaysian meteorological sources and global models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 24, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the inter-monsoon period. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity, keeping minimum temperatures above the September climatological average of roughly 24°C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 25–27°C because model consensus shows limited variability, with outcomes differentiated mainly by the timing and extent of overnight convection versus clearer intervals that could allow modest drops toward 23–24°C. No major tropical systems or ENSO shifts are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 24?
26°C 44%
25°C 40%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
19%
25°C
40%
26°C
24%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 44%
25°C 40%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
19%
25°C
40%
26°C
24%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from official Malaysian meteorological sources and global models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 24, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the inter-monsoon period. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity, keeping minimum temperatures above the September climatological average of roughly 24°C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 25–27°C because model consensus shows limited variability, with outcomes differentiated mainly by the timing and extent of overnight convection versus clearer intervals that could allow modest drops toward 23–24°C. No major tropical systems or ENSO shifts are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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