Persistent rain and a cooler air mass associated with a frontal system have suppressed daytime heating and moderated overnight lows across the Po Valley, keeping Milan’s September 10 minimum tightly clustered near 16 °C. Widespread cloud cover limits radiational cooling after sunset while sustained easterly flow advects slightly cooler maritime air, compressing the diurnal range. Numerical guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight minimum, with differences of 1 °C hinging on exact rainfall timing and any brief clear spells that could allow additional surface cooling. Historical September climatology places the 10th near the seasonal average low of 16 °C, so traders are weighting the balance between confirmed cool advection and lingering model uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 10?
16°C 71%
15°C 27%
13°C 7%
14°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
12°C or below
4%
13°C
7%
14°C
7%
15°C
27%
16°C
71%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 71%
15°C 27%
13°C 7%
14°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
12°C or below
$210 Vol.
4%
13°C
$139 Vol.
7%
14°C
$25 Vol.
7%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$7 Vol.
71%
17°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and a cooler air mass associated with a frontal system have suppressed daytime heating and moderated overnight lows across the Po Valley, keeping Milan’s September 10 minimum tightly clustered near 16 °C. Widespread cloud cover limits radiational cooling after sunset while sustained easterly flow advects slightly cooler maritime air, compressing the diurnal range. Numerical guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight minimum, with differences of 1 °C hinging on exact rainfall timing and any brief clear spells that could allow additional surface cooling. Historical September climatology places the 10th near the seasonal average low of 16 °C, so traders are weighting the balance between confirmed cool advection and lingering model uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,018End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and a cooler air mass associated with a frontal system have suppressed daytime heating and moderated overnight lows across the Po Valley, keeping Milan’s September 10 minimum tightly clustered near 16 °C. Widespread cloud cover limits radiational cooling after sunset while sustained easterly flow advects slightly cooler maritime air, compressing the diurnal range. Numerical guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight minimum, with differences of 1 °C hinging on exact rainfall timing and any brief clear spells that could allow additional surface cooling. Historical September climatology places the 10th near the seasonal average low of 16 °C, so traders are weighting the balance between confirmed cool advection and lingering model uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,018End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and a cooler air mass associated with a frontal system have suppressed daytime heating and moderated overnight lows across the Po Valley, keeping Milan’s September 10 minimum tightly clustered near 16 °C. Widespread cloud cover limits radiational cooling after sunset while sustained easterly flow advects slightly cooler maritime air, compressing the diurnal range. Numerical guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight minimum, with differences of 1 °C hinging on exact rainfall timing and any brief clear spells that could allow additional surface cooling. Historical September climatology places the 10th near the seasonal average low of 16 °C, so traders are weighting the balance between confirmed cool advection and lingering model uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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