Recent model runs for Milan on September 9 show overnight lows clustered between 16–19°C amid widespread thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling and creates the tight clustering around 16–17°C and 20°C outcomes. Easterly winds and high humidity from ongoing precipitation further moderate temperature drops, while scattered clear intervals could allow brief radiative losses pushing readings toward the lower end. Official forecasts from regional models reflect this narrow spread, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of storm passage and any post-frontal clearing before dawn. Historical September minima average near 14–16°C, providing context for why traders see meaningful probability across this tight range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 9?
17°C 47%
16°C 44%
18°C 44%
19°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
44%
17°C
47%
18°C
44%
19°C
27%
20°C
47%
21°C
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 47%
16°C 44%
18°C 44%
19°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
$50 Vol.
1%
15°C
$25 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
44%
17°C
$0 Vol.
47%
18°C
$0 Vol.
44%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$10 Vol.
47%
21°C
$16 Vol.
5%
22°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$1,040 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Milan on September 9 show overnight lows clustered between 16–19°C amid widespread thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling and creates the tight clustering around 16–17°C and 20°C outcomes. Easterly winds and high humidity from ongoing precipitation further moderate temperature drops, while scattered clear intervals could allow brief radiative losses pushing readings toward the lower end. Official forecasts from regional models reflect this narrow spread, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of storm passage and any post-frontal clearing before dawn. Historical September minima average near 14–16°C, providing context for why traders see meaningful probability across this tight range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,498End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Milan on September 9 show overnight lows clustered between 16–19°C amid widespread thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling and creates the tight clustering around 16–17°C and 20°C outcomes. Easterly winds and high humidity from ongoing precipitation further moderate temperature drops, while scattered clear intervals could allow brief radiative losses pushing readings toward the lower end. Official forecasts from regional models reflect this narrow spread, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of storm passage and any post-frontal clearing before dawn. Historical September minima average near 14–16°C, providing context for why traders see meaningful probability across this tight range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,498End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs for Milan on September 9 show overnight lows clustered between 16–19°C amid widespread thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling and creates the tight clustering around 16–17°C and 20°C outcomes. Easterly winds and high humidity from ongoing precipitation further moderate temperature drops, while scattered clear intervals could allow brief radiative losses pushing readings toward the lower end. Official forecasts from regional models reflect this narrow spread, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of storm passage and any post-frontal clearing before dawn. Historical September minima average near 14–16°C, providing context for why traders see meaningful probability across this tight range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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