Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Munich on September 2 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and dew points around 11–12°C. This positioning near the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.1°C reflects stable high-pressure influence suppressing stronger advection or precipitation, with limited radiative cooling overnight due to residual cloud cover. Small differences among leading outcomes (9–14°C) hinge on ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, which traders price as roughly equiprobable given typical short-range model uncertainty at this lead time. Historical analogs show September 2 lows rarely dip below 6°C without unusual synoptic setups, supporting the low probability assigned to extremes above 15°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 2?
10°C 100%
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
14%
10°C
100%
11°C
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
14%
16°C
13%
17°C
11%
18°C
13%
19°C or higher
4%
10°C 100%
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
$13 Vol.
14%
10°C
$0 Vol.
100%
11°C
$0 Vol.
100%
12°C
$0 Vol.
100%
13°C
$0 Vol.
100%
14°C
$0 Vol.
100%
15°C
$5 Vol.
14%
16°C
$5 Vol.
13%
17°C
$5 Vol.
11%
18°C
$5 Vol.
13%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Munich on September 2 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and dew points around 11–12°C. This positioning near the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.1°C reflects stable high-pressure influence suppressing stronger advection or precipitation, with limited radiative cooling overnight due to residual cloud cover. Small differences among leading outcomes (9–14°C) hinge on ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, which traders price as roughly equiprobable given typical short-range model uncertainty at this lead time. Historical analogs show September 2 lows rarely dip below 6°C without unusual synoptic setups, supporting the low probability assigned to extremes above 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$38End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Munich on September 2 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and dew points around 11–12°C. This positioning near the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.1°C reflects stable high-pressure influence suppressing stronger advection or precipitation, with limited radiative cooling overnight due to residual cloud cover. Small differences among leading outcomes (9–14°C) hinge on ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, which traders price as roughly equiprobable given typical short-range model uncertainty at this lead time. Historical analogs show September 2 lows rarely dip below 6°C without unusual synoptic setups, supporting the low probability assigned to extremes above 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Munich on September 2 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and dew points around 11–12°C. This positioning near the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.1°C reflects stable high-pressure influence suppressing stronger advection or precipitation, with limited radiative cooling overnight due to residual cloud cover. Small differences among leading outcomes (9–14°C) hinge on ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, which traders price as roughly equiprobable given typical short-range model uncertainty at this lead time. Historical analogs show September 2 lows rarely dip below 6°C without unusual synoptic setups, supporting the low probability assigned to extremes above 15°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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