Forecast model consensus from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS runs positions a maximum near 25 °C for Munich on September 2 under partly cloudy conditions, light northwesterly winds, and high pressure that limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities—56.5 % for 25 °C, 24.5 % for 24 °C, and 19 % for 26 °C—reflecting trader aggregation of ensemble spread and recent observational trends slightly above the 22 °C climatological average. Low odds for 27 °C or higher capture the limited potential for stronger subsidence or clearer skies, while sub-23 °C outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage before resolution by official station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 2?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 2?
25°C 55%
24°C 24%
26°C 18%
23°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
24%
25°C
55%
26°C
18%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 55%
24°C 24%
26°C 18%
23°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
20°C or below
$220 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$67 Vol.
1%
22°C
$78 Vol.
1%
23°C
$636 Vol.
5%
24°C
$1,892 Vol.
24%
25°C
$1,070 Vol.
55%
26°C
$487 Vol.
18%
27°C
$264 Vol.
1%
28°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$283 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model consensus from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS runs positions a maximum near 25 °C for Munich on September 2 under partly cloudy conditions, light northwesterly winds, and high pressure that limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities—56.5 % for 25 °C, 24.5 % for 24 °C, and 19 % for 26 °C—reflecting trader aggregation of ensemble spread and recent observational trends slightly above the 22 °C climatological average. Low odds for 27 °C or higher capture the limited potential for stronger subsidence or clearer skies, while sub-23 °C outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage before resolution by official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,370End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model consensus from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS runs positions a maximum near 25 °C for Munich on September 2 under partly cloudy conditions, light northwesterly winds, and high pressure that limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities—56.5 % for 25 °C, 24.5 % for 24 °C, and 19 % for 26 °C—reflecting trader aggregation of ensemble spread and recent observational trends slightly above the 22 °C climatological average. Low odds for 27 °C or higher capture the limited potential for stronger subsidence or clearer skies, while sub-23 °C outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage before resolution by official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,370End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast model consensus from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS runs positions a maximum near 25 °C for Munich on September 2 under partly cloudy conditions, light northwesterly winds, and high pressure that limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities—56.5 % for 25 °C, 24.5 % for 24 °C, and 19 % for 26 °C—reflecting trader aggregation of ensemble spread and recent observational trends slightly above the 22 °C climatological average. Low odds for 27 °C or higher capture the limited potential for stronger subsidence or clearer skies, while sub-23 °C outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage before resolution by official station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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