Official observations from New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily minimum temperature of 60–61°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's resolved bracket and reflecting clear overnight conditions that promoted efficient radiative cooling under a stable air mass. This outcome fell slightly below typical mid-June climatological lows near 62–64°F, driven by lighter winds and reduced cloud cover that allowed surface temperatures to drop more readily after sunset. Forecasters from NOAA had highlighted these factors in preceding model runs, with limited spread among guidance supporting the tight temperature range. While post-event verification leaves little room for revision, any discrepancy in station data or measurement timing could theoretically have shifted resolution, though historical consistency in official reports makes such adjustments improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on June 16?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 16?
60-61°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$21,996 Vol.
$21,996 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$21,996 Vol.
$21,996 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
49°F or below
$1,180 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$1,375 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$912 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,422 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,316 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,113 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$3,051 Vol.
Yes
62-63°F
$2,438 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$6,087 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$1,930 Vol.
No
68°F or higher
$1,172 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily minimum temperature of 60–61°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's resolved bracket and reflecting clear overnight conditions that promoted efficient radiative cooling under a stable air mass. This outcome fell slightly below typical mid-June climatological lows near 62–64°F, driven by lighter winds and reduced cloud cover that allowed surface temperatures to drop more readily after sunset. Forecasters from NOAA had highlighted these factors in preceding model runs, with limited spread among guidance supporting the tight temperature range. While post-event verification leaves little room for revision, any discrepancy in station data or measurement timing could theoretically have shifted resolution, though historical consistency in official reports makes such adjustments improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volume
$21,996End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily minimum temperature of 60–61°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's resolved bracket and reflecting clear overnight conditions that promoted efficient radiative cooling under a stable air mass. This outcome fell slightly below typical mid-June climatological lows near 62–64°F, driven by lighter winds and reduced cloud cover that allowed surface temperatures to drop more readily after sunset. Forecasters from NOAA had highlighted these factors in preceding model runs, with limited spread among guidance supporting the tight temperature range. While post-event verification leaves little room for revision, any discrepancy in station data or measurement timing could theoretically have shifted resolution, though historical consistency in official reports makes such adjustments improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,996End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily minimum temperature of 60–61°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's resolved bracket and reflecting clear overnight conditions that promoted efficient radiative cooling under a stable air mass. This outcome fell slightly below typical mid-June climatological lows near 62–64°F, driven by lighter winds and reduced cloud cover that allowed surface temperatures to drop more readily after sunset. Forecasters from NOAA had highlighted these factors in preceding model runs, with limited spread among guidance supporting the tight temperature range. While post-event verification leaves little room for revision, any discrepancy in station data or measurement timing could theoretically have shifted resolution, though historical consistency in official reports makes such adjustments improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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