National Weather Service forecast models and ensemble guidance converged on an overnight low of 64-65°F in New York City on June 5 under a stable high-pressure system with light winds that limited mixing and radiational cooling. This outcome aligned closely with climatological norms for early June, when average lows typically range from the upper 50s to mid-60s, and recent observational trends showed minimal deviation from guidance. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflected high confidence in the model consensus ahead of official verification at LaGuardia Airport. Unexpected shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or localized urban heat island effects could have altered the final reading, though such factors remained minimal in the latest runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on June 5?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 5?
64-65°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$101,334 Vol.
$101,334 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$101,334 Vol.
$101,334 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
59°F or below
$2,739 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,301 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$4,854 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$7,634 Vol.
Yes
66-67°F
$2,449 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$2,739 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$18,687 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$54,903 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,873 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,093 Vol.
No
78°F or higher
$2,061 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecast models and ensemble guidance converged on an overnight low of 64-65°F in New York City on June 5 under a stable high-pressure system with light winds that limited mixing and radiational cooling. This outcome aligned closely with climatological norms for early June, when average lows typically range from the upper 50s to mid-60s, and recent observational trends showed minimal deviation from guidance. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflected high confidence in the model consensus ahead of official verification at LaGuardia Airport. Unexpected shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or localized urban heat island effects could have altered the final reading, though such factors remained minimal in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Volume
$101,334End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecast models and ensemble guidance converged on an overnight low of 64-65°F in New York City on June 5 under a stable high-pressure system with light winds that limited mixing and radiational cooling. This outcome aligned closely with climatological norms for early June, when average lows typically range from the upper 50s to mid-60s, and recent observational trends showed minimal deviation from guidance. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflected high confidence in the model consensus ahead of official verification at LaGuardia Airport. Unexpected shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or localized urban heat island effects could have altered the final reading, though such factors remained minimal in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$101,334End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service forecast models and ensemble guidance converged on an overnight low of 64-65°F in New York City on June 5 under a stable high-pressure system with light winds that limited mixing and radiational cooling. This outcome aligned closely with climatological norms for early June, when average lows typically range from the upper 50s to mid-60s, and recent observational trends showed minimal deviation from guidance. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflected high confidence in the model consensus ahead of official verification at LaGuardia Airport. Unexpected shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or localized urban heat island effects could have altered the final reading, though such factors remained minimal in the latest runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions