Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a transient Atlantic trough will suppress typical early-June insolation over Paris on June 5, producing cloudy skies, scattered showers, and a daily minimum near 12°C. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 11–12°C in updated guidance, well below the June climatological average of 14°C. Trader consensus at 12°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window for the day's official minimum reading. Minor shifts remain possible if post-frontal clearing occurs earlier than projected or if localized urban heat effects raise the recorded low by 1°C, though current atmospheric steering patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on June 5?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 5?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$17,312 Vol.
$17,312 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$17,312 Vol.
$17,312 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
7°C or below
$861 Vol.
No
8°C
$1,307 Vol.
No
9°C
$532 Vol.
No
10°C
$795 Vol.
No
11°C
$635 Vol.
No
12°C
$5,231 Vol.
Yes
13°C
$1,066 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,507 Vol.
No
15°C
$538 Vol.
No
16°C
$483 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$4,356 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a transient Atlantic trough will suppress typical early-June insolation over Paris on June 5, producing cloudy skies, scattered showers, and a daily minimum near 12°C. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 11–12°C in updated guidance, well below the June climatological average of 14°C. Trader consensus at 12°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window for the day's official minimum reading. Minor shifts remain possible if post-frontal clearing occurs earlier than projected or if localized urban heat effects raise the recorded low by 1°C, though current atmospheric steering patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Volume
$17,312End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a transient Atlantic trough will suppress typical early-June insolation over Paris on June 5, producing cloudy skies, scattered showers, and a daily minimum near 12°C. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 11–12°C in updated guidance, well below the June climatological average of 14°C. Trader consensus at 12°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window for the day's official minimum reading. Minor shifts remain possible if post-frontal clearing occurs earlier than projected or if localized urban heat effects raise the recorded low by 1°C, though current atmospheric steering patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,312End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a transient Atlantic trough will suppress typical early-June insolation over Paris on June 5, producing cloudy skies, scattered showers, and a daily minimum near 12°C. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 11–12°C in updated guidance, well below the June climatological average of 14°C. Trader consensus at 12°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window for the day's official minimum reading. Minor shifts remain possible if post-frontal clearing occurs earlier than projected or if localized urban heat effects raise the recorded low by 1°C, though current atmospheric steering patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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