Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 20–22°C for Qingdao on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near historical September averages of 18°C while current high-pressure stability reduces the chance of sharp drops. Trader consensus clustering around 18–19°C with notable probability on 16°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter overnight temperature minima by 2–3°C at coastal stations. Upcoming evening updates from regional forecasts will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 13?
26°C or higher 81%
16°C or below 66%
17°C 40%
21°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
16°C or below
66%
17°C
40%
18°C
31%
19°C
26%
20°C
24%
21°C
40%
22°C
9%
23°C
6%
24°C
13%
25°C
13%
26°C or higher
81%
26°C or higher 81%
16°C or below 66%
17°C 40%
21°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
66%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
24%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$111 Vol.
9%
23°C
$80 Vol.
6%
24°C
$0 Vol.
13%
25°C
$0 Vol.
13%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 20–22°C for Qingdao on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near historical September averages of 18°C while current high-pressure stability reduces the chance of sharp drops. Trader consensus clustering around 18–19°C with notable probability on 16°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter overnight temperature minima by 2–3°C at coastal stations. Upcoming evening updates from regional forecasts will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$191End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 20–22°C for Qingdao on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near historical September averages of 18°C while current high-pressure stability reduces the chance of sharp drops. Trader consensus clustering around 18–19°C with notable probability on 16°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter overnight temperature minima by 2–3°C at coastal stations. Upcoming evening updates from regional forecasts will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$191End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 20–22°C for Qingdao on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near historical September averages of 18°C while current high-pressure stability reduces the chance of sharp drops. Trader consensus clustering around 18–19°C with notable probability on 16°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter overnight temperature minima by 2–3°C at coastal stations. Upcoming evening updates from regional forecasts will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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