**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C daily minimum temperature in Seoul/Incheon on August 27, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration, which indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 24–25°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, moderate humidity around 80–95%, and light westerly winds. Current model runs show limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to cloud cover and residual moisture from the late-summer pattern, keeping the minimum from dropping into the low 20s. Historical climatology for late August supports typical lows near 22–23°C, but this year’s warmer baseline and stable steering flow have shifted expectations upward. The 25°C outcome aligns with the observed range in multiple hourly datasets, where temperatures bottomed near that threshold without further decline. Only an unexpected clearing of skies or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically push the minimum below 24°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 27?
25°C 98%
24°C 1.4%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
$18,490 Vol.
$18,490 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
98%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98%
24°C 1.4%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
$18,490 Vol.
$18,490 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
$2,001 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,377 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,233 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,041 Vol.
1%
24°C
$822 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,963 Vol.
98%
26°C
$3,512 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,793 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,319 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,164 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,264 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C daily minimum temperature in Seoul/Incheon on August 27, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.**
This positioning reflects official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration, which indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 24–25°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, moderate humidity around 80–95%, and light westerly winds. Current model runs show limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to cloud cover and residual moisture from the late-summer pattern, keeping the minimum from dropping into the low 20s. Historical climatology for late August supports typical lows near 22–23°C, but this year’s warmer baseline and stable steering flow have shifted expectations upward.
The 25°C outcome aligns with the observed range in multiple hourly datasets, where temperatures bottomed near that threshold without further decline. Only an unexpected clearing of skies or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically push the minimum below 24°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$18,490End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C daily minimum temperature in Seoul/Incheon on August 27, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.**
This positioning reflects official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration, which indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 24–25°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, moderate humidity around 80–95%, and light westerly winds. Current model runs show limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to cloud cover and residual moisture from the late-summer pattern, keeping the minimum from dropping into the low 20s. Historical climatology for late August supports typical lows near 22–23°C, but this year’s warmer baseline and stable steering flow have shifted expectations upward.
The 25°C outcome aligns with the observed range in multiple hourly datasets, where temperatures bottomed near that threshold without further decline. Only an unexpected clearing of skies or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically push the minimum below 24°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,490End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C daily minimum temperature in Seoul/Incheon on August 27, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration, which indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 24–25°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, moderate humidity around 80–95%, and light westerly winds. Current model runs show limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to cloud cover and residual moisture from the late-summer pattern, keeping the minimum from dropping into the low 20s. Historical climatology for late August supports typical lows near 22–23°C, but this year’s warmer baseline and stable steering flow have shifted expectations upward. The 25°C outcome aligns with the observed range in multiple hourly datasets, where temperatures bottomed near that threshold without further decline. Only an unexpected clearing of skies or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically push the minimum below 24°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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