Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models strongly support a Seoul minimum of 16°C on June 13, driven by clear to mostly clear overnight conditions that promote efficient radiative cooling. This aligns with typical early-June climatology, where average lows hover near 18°C but drop further under fair skies and light winds. Trader consensus has converged on this outcome because recent model runs show limited variability in boundary-layer moisture and no incoming frontal systems to disrupt the cooling process. The narrow uncertainty band leaves little room for shifts, though unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger southerly flow, or localized precipitation could raise the minimum by 1–2°C before dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on June 13?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 13?
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$12,732 Vol.
$12,732 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$12,732 Vol.
$12,732 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
11°C or below
$439 Vol.
No
12°C
$408 Vol.
No
13°C
$763 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,185 Vol.
No
15°C
$899 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,046 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$1,335 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,449 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,613 Vol.
No
20°C
$853 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$741 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models strongly support a Seoul minimum of 16°C on June 13, driven by clear to mostly clear overnight conditions that promote efficient radiative cooling. This aligns with typical early-June climatology, where average lows hover near 18°C but drop further under fair skies and light winds. Trader consensus has converged on this outcome because recent model runs show limited variability in boundary-layer moisture and no incoming frontal systems to disrupt the cooling process. The narrow uncertainty band leaves little room for shifts, though unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger southerly flow, or localized precipitation could raise the minimum by 1–2°C before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$12,732End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models strongly support a Seoul minimum of 16°C on June 13, driven by clear to mostly clear overnight conditions that promote efficient radiative cooling. This aligns with typical early-June climatology, where average lows hover near 18°C but drop further under fair skies and light winds. Trader consensus has converged on this outcome because recent model runs show limited variability in boundary-layer moisture and no incoming frontal systems to disrupt the cooling process. The narrow uncertainty band leaves little room for shifts, though unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger southerly flow, or localized precipitation could raise the minimum by 1–2°C before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,732End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models strongly support a Seoul minimum of 16°C on June 13, driven by clear to mostly clear overnight conditions that promote efficient radiative cooling. This aligns with typical early-June climatology, where average lows hover near 18°C but drop further under fair skies and light winds. Trader consensus has converged on this outcome because recent model runs show limited variability in boundary-layer moisture and no incoming frontal systems to disrupt the cooling process. The narrow uncertainty band leaves little room for shifts, though unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger southerly flow, or localized precipitation could raise the minimum by 1–2°C before dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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