Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on September 10, 2026, consistently project an overnight low near 22°C, supported by observed conditions including moderate humidity levels around 70%, light northerly to northwesterly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits excessive radiative cooling. Multiple models align on daytime highs of 28–30°C transitioning to this minimum under stable high-pressure influence typical for early September in the region. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability on 22°C reflects this model consensus and recent observational data. Deviations toward 21°C or below would require stronger clear-sky radiative losses or a sharper wind shift, while persistent showers or increased cloud cover could hold the low closer to 23–24°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
22°C 96%
21°C 2.9%
20°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
NEW
$15,392 Vol.
NEW
$15,392 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
96%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 96%
21°C 2.9%
20°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
NEW
$15,392 Vol.
NEW
$15,392 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
$195 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$739 Vol.
1%
20°C
$750 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,676 Vol.
3%
22°C
$4,134 Vol.
96%
23°C
$4,476 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$797 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,048 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$216 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on September 10, 2026, consistently project an overnight low near 22°C, supported by observed conditions including moderate humidity levels around 70%, light northerly to northwesterly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits excessive radiative cooling. Multiple models align on daytime highs of 28–30°C transitioning to this minimum under stable high-pressure influence typical for early September in the region. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability on 22°C reflects this model consensus and recent observational data. Deviations toward 21°C or below would require stronger clear-sky radiative losses or a sharper wind shift, while persistent showers or increased cloud cover could hold the low closer to 23–24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$15,392End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on September 10, 2026, consistently project an overnight low near 22°C, supported by observed conditions including moderate humidity levels around 70%, light northerly to northwesterly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits excessive radiative cooling. Multiple models align on daytime highs of 28–30°C transitioning to this minimum under stable high-pressure influence typical for early September in the region. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability on 22°C reflects this model consensus and recent observational data. Deviations toward 21°C or below would require stronger clear-sky radiative losses or a sharper wind shift, while persistent showers or increased cloud cover could hold the low closer to 23–24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,392End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on September 10, 2026, consistently project an overnight low near 22°C, supported by observed conditions including moderate humidity levels around 70%, light northerly to northwesterly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits excessive radiative cooling. Multiple models align on daytime highs of 28–30°C transitioning to this minimum under stable high-pressure influence typical for early September in the region. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability on 22°C reflects this model consensus and recent observational data. Deviations toward 21°C or below would require stronger clear-sky radiative losses or a sharper wind shift, while persistent showers or increased cloud cover could hold the low closer to 23–24°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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