Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv's daily minimum on September 16 will likely settle near 22–24°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of mid-September Mediterranean conditions. Light easterly to northwesterly winds and moderate humidity support gradual overnight cooling without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover that could depress readings further. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C-plus outcomes reflects trader focus on remaining model spread and potential local microclimate effects near the coast, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum before any late-day sea-breeze moderation. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will clarify whether subtle shifts in steering flow alter the baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16?
30°C or higher 94%
20°C or below 48%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
48%
21°C
20%
22°C
37%
23°C
23%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
37%
27°C
37%
28°C
37%
29°C
37%
30°C or higher
94%
30°C or higher 94%
20°C or below 48%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
48%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$0 Vol.
37%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$0 Vol.
37%
27°C
$0 Vol.
37%
28°C
$0 Vol.
37%
29°C
$0 Vol.
37%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv's daily minimum on September 16 will likely settle near 22–24°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of mid-September Mediterranean conditions. Light easterly to northwesterly winds and moderate humidity support gradual overnight cooling without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover that could depress readings further. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C-plus outcomes reflects trader focus on remaining model spread and potential local microclimate effects near the coast, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum before any late-day sea-breeze moderation. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will clarify whether subtle shifts in steering flow alter the baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$5End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv's daily minimum on September 16 will likely settle near 22–24°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of mid-September Mediterranean conditions. Light easterly to northwesterly winds and moderate humidity support gradual overnight cooling without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover that could depress readings further. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C-plus outcomes reflects trader focus on remaining model spread and potential local microclimate effects near the coast, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum before any late-day sea-breeze moderation. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will clarify whether subtle shifts in steering flow alter the baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv's daily minimum on September 16 will likely settle near 22–24°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of mid-September Mediterranean conditions. Light easterly to northwesterly winds and moderate humidity support gradual overnight cooling without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover that could depress readings further. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C-plus outcomes reflects trader focus on remaining model spread and potential local microclimate effects near the coast, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum before any late-day sea-breeze moderation. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will clarify whether subtle shifts in steering flow alter the baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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