Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has issued only written statements since his March 2026 appointment by the Assembly of Experts following his father’s assassination in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, with no verified video, audio, or in-person public appearance in the ensuing six months. He skipped the July state funeral amid reports of injuries sustained in the same attack and ongoing security threats during the active conflict. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian’s September 12 confirmation that Khamenei remains alive and exercises final authority addressed recent health rumors, yet regime officials continue citing security needs for the seclusion while analysts note a more collective decision-making structure involving the IRGC and other institutions. Claims of sightings, such as a September 2 account of his presence at the burial site, have not produced independent verification. Traders monitor any scheduled addresses, diplomatic summits, or religious observances that could prompt an appearance before year-end deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$7,114,095 Vol.
September 30
3%
October 31
10%
December 31
21%
$7,114,095 Vol.
September 30
3%
October 31
10%
December 31
21%
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has issued only written statements since his March 2026 appointment by the Assembly of Experts following his father’s assassination in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, with no verified video, audio, or in-person public appearance in the ensuing six months. He skipped the July state funeral amid reports of injuries sustained in the same attack and ongoing security threats during the active conflict. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian’s September 12 confirmation that Khamenei remains alive and exercises final authority addressed recent health rumors, yet regime officials continue citing security needs for the seclusion while analysts note a more collective decision-making structure involving the IRGC and other institutions. Claims of sightings, such as a September 2 account of his presence at the burial site, have not produced independent verification. Traders monitor any scheduled addresses, diplomatic summits, or religious observances that could prompt an appearance before year-end deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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