Democrats' prospects of gaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 64% implied probability that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. With Republicans currently holding majorities in both chambers, any immediate effort remains blocked, but analysts note that a Democratic majority would enable committee investigations and floor votes on charges tied to executive actions, foreign policy statements, or election-related claims. Public polling has shown majority support for impeachment proceedings, while multiple Democratic resolutions introduced since early 2025 have been tabled under current partisan lines. Traders appear to price in the historical pattern that incoming opposition majorities often pursue such measures, though Senate conviction thresholds make removal far less likely regardless of House outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$85,536 Vol.
$85,536 Vol.
Jan 20, 2029
$85,536 Vol.
$85,536 Vol.
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' prospects of gaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 64% implied probability that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. With Republicans currently holding majorities in both chambers, any immediate effort remains blocked, but analysts note that a Democratic majority would enable committee investigations and floor votes on charges tied to executive actions, foreign policy statements, or election-related claims. Public polling has shown majority support for impeachment proceedings, while multiple Democratic resolutions introduced since early 2025 have been tabled under current partisan lines. Traders appear to price in the historical pattern that incoming opposition majorities often pursue such measures, though Senate conviction thresholds make removal far less likely regardless of House outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$85,536End Date
Jan 20, 2029Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' prospects of gaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 64% implied probability that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. With Republicans currently holding majorities in both chambers, any immediate effort remains blocked, but analysts note that a Democratic majority would enable committee investigations and floor votes on charges tied to executive actions, foreign policy statements, or election-related claims. Public polling has shown majority support for impeachment proceedings, while multiple Democratic resolutions introduced since early 2025 have been tabled under current partisan lines. Traders appear to price in the historical pattern that incoming opposition majorities often pursue such measures, though Senate conviction thresholds make removal far less likely regardless of House outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$85,536End Date
Jan 20, 2029Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats' prospects of gaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 64% implied probability that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. With Republicans currently holding majorities in both chambers, any immediate effort remains blocked, but analysts note that a Democratic majority would enable committee investigations and floor votes on charges tied to executive actions, foreign policy statements, or election-related claims. Public polling has shown majority support for impeachment proceedings, while multiple Democratic resolutions introduced since early 2025 have been tabled under current partisan lines. Traders appear to price in the historical pattern that incoming opposition majorities often pursue such measures, though Senate conviction thresholds make removal far less likely regardless of House outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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