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Politics·Earn 4%

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

icon for Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Politics·Earn 4%

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Dec 31

Jan 20, 2029

Dec 31

Jan 20, 2029

72% chance
Polymarket

$91,799 Vol.

72% chance
Polymarket

$91,799 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on a 72% probability that the House will impeach President Trump before his term concludes reflects expectations of Democratic gains in the November 2026 midterms, potentially flipping chamber control and enabling renewed articles of impeachment. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced citing policy disputes, foreign affairs developments, and executive actions. Historical patterns show opposition parties frequently pursue impeachment when holding House majorities, regardless of ultimate Senate outcomes. Upcoming midterm results, approval trends, and any major legislative or diplomatic flashpoints could further shift implied probabilities ahead of the 2028-2029 window.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$91,799
End Date
Jan 20, 2029
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on a 72% probability that the House will impeach President Trump before his term concludes reflects expectations of Democratic gains in the November 2026 midterms, potentially flipping chamber control and enabling renewed articles of impeachment. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced citing policy disputes, foreign affairs developments, and executive actions. Historical patterns show opposition parties frequently pursue impeachment when holding House majorities, regardless of ultimate Senate outcomes. Upcoming midterm results, approval trends, and any major legislative or diplomatic flashpoints could further shift implied probabilities ahead of the 2028-2029 window.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$91,799
End Date
Jan 20, 2029
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 72% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 72¢, the market collectively assigns a 72% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" has generated $91.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" is 72% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 72% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.